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Live 31 UTC
Championship Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
QPRHomeDWLWL
5:0Half-time 4:0
SwanseaAwayWWLLW
392833
QPR winDrawSwansea win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.59
1.35 : 1.24
Favourite
39%
QPR
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

QPR vs Swansea odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.423.302.791.911.831.702.04Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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QPR to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the QPR vs Swansea prediction: QPR 2.42 (1xBet), draw 3.30 (1xBet), Swansea 2.79 (1xBet).

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.91 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.83 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (1xBet) and no 2.04 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

72%

Our prediction

QPR or Swansea (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.35 : 1.24-6.4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time QPR, full-time QPR
23% chance4.31fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fair

QPR vs Swansea odds movement

QPR win2.42-0.08
Draw3.30-0.15
Swansea win2.79-0.15
Over 2.5 goals1.91-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.83-0.08

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

QPR vs Swansea prediction

QPR vs Swansea prediction and best bet

Nothing separates the sides in the QPR vs Swansea prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 39% home, 28% draw and 34% away in the Championship. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

QPR are expected to score 1.35 and Swansea 1.24, so the total line is 2.59 goals; over 2.5 lands at 47% and BTTS at 54%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

QPR or Swansea (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 72% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

QPR average 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Swansea 1.4 and 1.4 across 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for QPR vs Swansea

On the goal lines QPR vs Swansea reads 73% for over 1.5, 47% for over 2.5 and 26% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 53%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.83 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from QPR scoring in 74% of runs and Swansea in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for QPR and 26% for Swansea.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, followed by 1-0 (10.1%) and 0-1 (9.3%).

With the top scoreline at 12.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for QPR vs Swansea; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time QPR, full-time QPR leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, QPR vs Swansea

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for QPR vs Swansea, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

QPR to win39%2.42
Draw28%3.30
Swansea to win34%2.79
QPR, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
Swansea, draw no bet47%fair 2.15

Double chance

QPR or draw67%1.40
Swansea or draw62%1.51
QPR or Swansea (no draw)72%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%1.91
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals53%1.83
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.70
Not both teams to score46%2.04

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

QPR to score74%fair 1.35
Swansea to score71%fair 1.41
QPR clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Swansea clean sheet26%fair 3.86
QPR to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Swansea to win to nil24%fair 4.18

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-010.1%
0-19.3%
2-18.5%
1-27.8%
0-07.5%

Half-time / full-time

QPR / QPR23.2%
Swansea / Swansea19.8%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Draw / QPR14%
Draw / Swansea12.5%

Questions about QPR vs Swansea

Who will win QPR vs Swansea?

The model gives QPR the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for QPR vs Swansea?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 47%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in QPR vs Swansea?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. QPR find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Swansea in 71%.

When do QPR play Swansea?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, QPR v SwanseaQPR or Swansea (no draw), 72%
1.30Bet