Championship
Round 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
BirminghamHomeWWWLW
3:0Half-time 1:0
QPRAwayDWLWL492625
Birmingham winDrawQPR win
Championship
Round 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
BirminghamHomeWWWLWQPRAwayDWLWL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.76 1.65 : 1.11
- Favourite
- 49% Birmingham
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Birmingham vs QPR betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.99 | 3.54 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.69 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Birmingham to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Birmingham vs QPR are 1.99 for Birmingham at 1xBet, 3.54 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.50 for QPR at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.83 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.91 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
75%
Our prediction
Birmingham or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Birmingham, full-time Birmingham
31% chance3.26fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Birmingham vs QPR odds movement
Birmingham win1.99unchanged
Draw3.54-0.16
QPR win3.50-0.37
Over 2.5 goals1.83-0.04
Under 2.5 goals1.91-0.11
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Birmingham vs QPR prediction
Our Birmingham vs QPR prediction and pick
Birmingham vs QPR prediction for the Championship on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Birmingham a narrow favourite at 49%, with the draw at 26% and QPR at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 2.76 in total, split 1.65 to Birmingham and 1.11 to QPR. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Birmingham or draw is the main selection, rated 75%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Birmingham vs QPR.
Over the last 5 matches Birmingham stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; QPR show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Birmingham vs QPR? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 52%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.83 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Birmingham scoring in 81% of runs and QPR in 67%; clean sheets come at 33% for Birmingham and 19% for QPR.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.6%, then 1-0 at 10.4% and 2-1 at 9.6%.
With the top scoreline at 11.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Birmingham vs QPR; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Birmingham, full-time Birmingham leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Birmingham vs QPR
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Birmingham vs QPR, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Birmingham to win49%1.99
Draw26%3.54
QPR to win25%3.50
Birmingham, draw no bet67%fair 1.50
QPR, draw no bet33%fair 3.00
Double chance
Birmingham or draw75%1.27
QPR or draw51%1.76
Birmingham or QPR (no draw)74%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.83
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Under 2.5 goals48%1.91
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.69
Not both teams to score45%2.05
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.84
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Birmingham to score81%fair 1.24
QPR to score67%fair 1.49
Birmingham clean sheet33%fair 3.03
QPR clean sheet19%fair 5.21
Birmingham to win to nil30%fair 3.30
QPR to win to nil18%fair 5.65
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.6%
1-010.4%
2-19.6%
2-08.6%
0-17%
1-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Birmingham / Birmingham30.7%
Draw / Birmingham16.5%
Draw / Draw14.6%
QPR / QPR14.4%
Draw / QPR9.5%
Questions about Birmingham vs QPR
Birmingham or QPR: which side does the model back?
The model gives Birmingham the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Birmingham vs QPR?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Birmingham vs QPR both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Birmingham find the net in 81% of simulated matches and QPR in 67%.
When is Birmingham vs QPR and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.