Millwall vs Lincoln prediction

Our Millwall vs Lincoln prediction and pick

Millwall host Lincoln on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Championship, and the model has Millwall at 55%, the draw at 25% and Lincoln at 20%: that is the Millwall vs Lincoln prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.67 for Millwall and 0.92 for Lincoln, a total of 2.59, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 50%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Millwall to win is the main selection, rated 55%. At 1.72 with 1xBet the market prices it at 58%, against 55% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Millwall or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.17.

Form check: Millwall have won 2 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 6 conceded, Lincoln 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 15.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Millwall vs Lincoln

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 74%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.82.

The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Millwall scoring in 81% of runs and Lincoln in 60%; clean sheets come at 40% for Millwall and 19% for Lincoln.

The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 12.5%, followed by 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (10.5%).

With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Millwall vs Lincoln; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Millwall, full-time Millwall is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.