Burnley vs Wolves prediction

Burnley vs Wolves prediction, who wins and at what price

Burnley host Wolves on Friday, 16 October 2026 in the Championship, and the model has Wolves at 42%, the draw at 27% and Burnley at 32%: that is the Burnley vs Wolves prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.29 for Burnley and 1.51 for Wolves, a total of 2.80, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 59%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Burnley or Wolves (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.27. That price implies 79%, 6 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Burnley stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Wolves show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Burnley vs Wolves

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.75 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Burnley scoring in 73% of runs and Wolves in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for Burnley and 28% for Wolves.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.8%, then 0-1 at 9.2% and 1-2 at 8.9%.

With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Burnley vs Wolves; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Wolves, full-time Wolves is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.