West Ham vs West Brom prediction

West Ham vs West Brom prediction and best bet

West Ham host West Brom on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the Championship, and the model has West Ham at 58%, the draw at 23% and West Brom at 20%: that is the West Ham vs West Brom prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.97 for West Ham and 1.07 for West Brom, a total of 3.04, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for West Ham vs West Brom is west Ham to win, a 58% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.82 at Melbet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 3 points above the market.

A 4.8% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

West Ham or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.24.

Over the last 5 matches West Ham stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; West Brom show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for West Ham vs West Brom

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 22Bet pay 1.76.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. West Ham score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for West Brom; West Brom score in 66% while West Ham shut them out 34% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.1%, then 2-1 at 9.9% and 1-0 at 9.4%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time West Ham, full-time West Ham is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.