Swansea vs Blackburn prediction

Swansea vs Blackburn prediction and best bet

Swansea are a narrow favourite in the Swansea vs Blackburn prediction, rated 55% to win this Championship match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Blackburn sit at 21% and the draw at 24%.

The goal expectancy is 2.75 in total, split 1.75 to Swansea and 1.00 to Blackburn. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 52% and both teams to score 53%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Swansea vs Blackburn is swansea to win, a 55% chance. At 1.77 with Melbet the market prices it at 56%, against 55% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, swansea or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.19.

Over the last 5 matches Swansea stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Blackburn show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Swansea vs Blackburn goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.92 at Melbet.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Swansea score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Blackburn; Blackburn score in 63% while Swansea shut them out 37% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Swansea vs Blackburn: 1-0 (11.2%), 1-1 (11.2%) and 2-0 (9.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Swansea, full-time Swansea leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.