QPR vs Burnley prediction

Our QPR vs Burnley prediction and pick

QPR host Burnley on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 in the Championship, and the model has QPR at 50%, the draw at 24% and Burnley at 26%: that is the QPR vs Burnley prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.00 in total, split 1.77 to QPR and 1.23 to Burnley. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 60%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is qPR or Burnley (no draw) at 76%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.26. That price implies 79%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: QPR have won 2 of their last 5 with 11 scored and 9 conceded, Burnley 1 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 8.

QPR vs Burnley goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 57%; 22Bet pay 1.66.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from QPR scoring in 83% of runs and Burnley in 71%; clean sheets come at 29% for QPR and 17% for Burnley.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%, followed by 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.8%).

With the top scoreline at 10.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for QPR vs Burnley; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time QPR, full-time QPR is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.