Championship
Round 14 Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Kick-off
BirminghamHomeWWWLW
Tue 3 Nov
MillwallAwayWLDLW502525
Birmingham winDrawMillwall win
Championship
Round 14 Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Kick-off
BirminghamHomeWWWLWMillwallAwayWLDLW- Kick-off Tue 3 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.85 1.71 : 1.14
- Favourite
- 50% Birmingham
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Birmingham vs Millwall odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.48 | 1.74 | 2.02 | 1.63 | 2.14 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.65 | 1.75 | 1.99 | 1.63 | 2.10 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.48 | 1.74 | 2.02 | 1.63 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.48 | 1.74 | 2.02 | 1.63 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.94 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.72 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.06 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Birmingham to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Birmingham vs Millwall prediction: Birmingham 1.98 (Melbet), draw 3.60 (Stake), Millwall 3.65 (BC.Game).
The best-price payout across the three results is 94.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.75 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.02 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (Stake) and no 2.14 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
50%
Our prediction
Birmingham to win
Double chanceBirmingham or draw
75% chance1.28
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Birmingham, full-time Birmingham
31% chance3.18fair
Birmingham vs Millwall odds movement
Birmingham win1.98unchanged
Draw3.60unchanged
Millwall win3.65+0.05
Over 2.5 goals1.75unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.02unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Birmingham vs Millwall prediction
Birmingham vs Millwall prediction, who wins and at what price
Birmingham vs Millwall prediction for the Championship on Tuesday, 3 November 2026: the model makes Birmingham a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 25% and Millwall at 25%.
Birmingham are expected to score 1.71 and Millwall 1.14, so the total line is 2.85 goals; over 2.5 lands at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Birmingham to win is the main selection, rated 50%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.98. That price implies 51%, 0 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, birmingham or draw covers 75% of outcomes at 1.28.
Over the last 5 matches Birmingham stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Millwall show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Birmingham vs Millwall
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 68%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; BC.Game pay 1.75.
Both teams to score is 57%: Birmingham find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Millwall in 68%. Birmingham keep a clean sheet 32% of the time and Millwall 18%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%, followed by 1-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Birmingham, full-time Birmingham is the top combination at 31%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
All markets, Birmingham vs Millwall
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Birmingham vs Millwall, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Birmingham to win50%1.98
Draw25%3.60
Millwall to win25%3.65
Birmingham, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Millwall, draw no bet33%fair 3.03
Double chance
Birmingham or draw75%1.28
Millwall or draw50%1.80
Birmingham or Millwall (no draw)75%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%1.75
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.25
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.48
Under 2.5 goals46%2.02
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.65
Not both teams to score43%2.14
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.72
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26
Team goals
Birmingham to score82%fair 1.22
Millwall to score68%fair 1.47
Birmingham clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Millwall clean sheet18%fair 5.52
Birmingham to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Millwall to win to nil17%fair 6.02
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
1-09.9%
2-19.6%
2-08.5%
0-16.6%
1-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Birmingham / Birmingham31.4%
Draw / Birmingham16.5%
Millwall / Millwall14.4%
Draw / Draw14%
Draw / Millwall9.3%
Questions about Birmingham vs Millwall
Who is favourite in Birmingham vs Millwall?
The model gives Birmingham the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Birmingham vs Millwall?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.
Birmingham vs Millwall both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Birmingham find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Millwall in 68%.
When do Birmingham play Millwall?
Birmingham vs Millwall starts at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.