Southampton vs QPR prediction

Southampton vs QPR prediction, who wins and at what price

Southampton vs QPR prediction for the Championship on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Southampton a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 25% and QPR at 25%.

Southampton are expected to score 1.84 and QPR 1.26, so the total line is 3.10 goals; over 2.5 lands at 59% and BTTS at 62%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is southampton to win at 50%. The best price in our comparison is 1.98 at 22Bet, which implies 51%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.

Southampton or QPR (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 75% chance, priced 1.28.

Over the last 5 matches Southampton stand at 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; QPR show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.

Southampton vs QPR goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 41% and under 3.5 63%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 59%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.62 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 62%, built from Southampton scoring in 84% of runs and QPR in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Southampton and 16% for QPR.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.4%, then 2-1 at 9.6% and 1-0 at 8.3%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Southampton, full-time Southampton is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.