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Live 18 UTC
Championship Round 13 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
BurnleyHomeWDLLD
0:0Half-time 0:0
PortsmouthAwayWWDWD
422830
Burnley winDrawPortsmouth win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
2.63
1.44 : 1.19
Favourite
42%
Burnley
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Burnley vs Portsmouth

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.193.383.161.971.781.761.96Bet
22Bet2.063.523.521.921.881.742.10Bet
BC.Game2.063.453.301.841.891.682.06Bet
Betwinner2.063.523.521.921.881.742.10Bet
Melbet2.063.523.521.921.881.742.10Bet
Stake2.073.503.451.831.911.712.02Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Burnley to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Burnley vs Portsmouth are 2.19 for Burnley at 1xBet, 3.52 for the draw at Melbet and 3.52 for Portsmouth at Melbet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.97 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.91 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (1xBet) and no 2.10 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

72%

Our prediction

Burnley or Portsmouth (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.44 : 1.19-6% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.91
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Burnley, full-time Burnley
26% chance3.92fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.44fair

Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction

Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction, who wins and at what price

The Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction leans to Burnley: 42% against 30% for Portsmouth, with 28% left for the draw, in the Championship on Saturday, 31 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.63 in total, split 1.44 to Burnley and 1.19 to Portsmouth. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 54%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Burnley or Portsmouth (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 5 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Burnley vs Portsmouth.

Over the last 5 matches Burnley stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Portsmouth show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Burnley vs Portsmouth goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 73%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.91 at Stake.

BTTS yes stands at 54%. Burnley score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Portsmouth; Portsmouth score in 70% while Burnley shut them out 30% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.4%, then 1-0 at 10.4% and 2-1 at 8.9%.

With the top scoreline at 12.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Burnley vs Portsmouth; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Burnley, full-time Burnley leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Burnley vs Portsmouth

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Burnley vs Portsmouth, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Burnley to win42%2.19
Draw28%3.52
Portsmouth to win30%3.52
Burnley, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
Portsmouth, draw no bet42%fair 2.39

Double chance

Burnley or draw70%1.33
Portsmouth or draw58%1.76
Burnley or Portsmouth (no draw)72%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals49%1.97
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.69
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.87
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Under 2.5 goals51%1.91
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.76
Not both teams to score46%2.10

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.02
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31

Team goals

Burnley to score76%fair 1.31
Portsmouth to score70%fair 1.44
Burnley clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Portsmouth clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Burnley to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Portsmouth to win to nil22%fair 4.59

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-010.4%
2-18.9%
0-18.6%
2-07.5%
1-27.3%

Half-time / full-time

Burnley / Burnley25.5%
Portsmouth / Portsmouth17.9%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Draw / Burnley14.9%
Draw / Portsmouth11.5%

Questions about Burnley vs Portsmouth

Who is favourite in Burnley vs Portsmouth?

The model gives Burnley the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Burnley vs Portsmouth?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Burnley vs Portsmouth both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Burnley find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Portsmouth in 70%.

When is Burnley vs Portsmouth and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Burnley v PortsmouthBurnley or Portsmouth (no draw), 72%
1.30Bet