BurnleyHomeWDLLD
PortsmouthAwayWWDWD
BurnleyHomeWDLLD
PortsmouthAwayWWDWD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 3.38 | 3.16 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet | |
| 2.06 | 3.52 | 3.52 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.74 | 2.10 | Bet | |
| 2.06 | 3.45 | 3.30 | 1.84 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 2.06 | Bet | |
| 2.06 | 3.52 | 3.52 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.74 | 2.10 | Bet | |
| 2.06 | 3.52 | 3.52 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.74 | 2.10 | Bet | |
| 2.07 | 3.50 | 3.45 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.71 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for Burnley vs Portsmouth are 2.19 for Burnley at 1xBet, 3.52 for the draw at Melbet and 3.52 for Portsmouth at Melbet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.97 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.91 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (1xBet) and no 2.10 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
The Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction leans to Burnley: 42% against 30% for Portsmouth, with 28% left for the draw, in the Championship on Saturday, 31 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.63 in total, split 1.44 to Burnley and 1.19 to Portsmouth. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Burnley or Portsmouth (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.30. That price implies 77%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Burnley vs Portsmouth.
Over the last 5 matches Burnley stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Portsmouth show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 73%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.91 at Stake.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Burnley score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Portsmouth; Portsmouth score in 70% while Burnley shut them out 30% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.4%, then 1-0 at 10.4% and 2-1 at 8.9%.
With the top scoreline at 12.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Burnley vs Portsmouth; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Burnley, full-time Burnley leads at 26%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Burnley vs Portsmouth, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Burnley the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Burnley find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Portsmouth in 70%.
Kick-off is 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.