Charlton vs Bolton prediction

Charlton vs Bolton prediction and best bet

Charlton host Bolton on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 in the Championship, and the model has Charlton at 42%, the draw at 26% and Bolton at 32%: that is the Charlton vs Bolton prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.90 in total, split 1.57 to Charlton and 1.33 to Bolton. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 59%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is charlton or Bolton (no draw) at 74%. At 1.28 with Stake the market prices it at 78%, against 74% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Charlton have won 0 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 11 conceded, Bolton 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 11.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Charlton vs Bolton

Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 55%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.76 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Charlton scoring in 79% of runs and Bolton in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Charlton and 21% for Bolton.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%, followed by 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8.6%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Charlton, full-time Charlton is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.