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Championship Round 14 Tuesday, 3 November 2026 Kick-off
BlackburnHomeWWLWL
Tue 3 Nov
Stoke CityAwayWLWDW
362836
Blackburn winDrawStoke City win
Kick-off
Tue 3 Nov
Expected goals
2.54
1.28 : 1.26
Favourite
36%
Blackburn
Over 2.5 goals
46%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Blackburn vs Stoke City odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.523.322.702.011.751.761.96Bet
22Bet2.523.322.702.011.751.761.96Bet
BC.Game2.603.252.602.001.731.751.94Bet
Betwinner2.523.322.702.011.751.761.96Bet
Melbet2.523.322.702.011.751.761.96Bet
Stake2.653.302.551.981.741.791.88Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Blackburn to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Blackburn vs Stoke City prediction: Blackburn 2.65 (Stake), draw 3.32 (22Bet), Stoke City 2.70 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.01 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.79 (Stake) and no 1.96 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

72%

Our prediction

Blackburn or Stoke City (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.28 : 1.26-6.7% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Blackburn, full-time Blackburn
22% chance4.63fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair

Blackburn vs Stoke City prediction

Blackburn vs Stoke City prediction and best bet

The Blackburn vs Stoke City prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Championship on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 gives Blackburn a 36% chance, Stoke City 35% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

The goal expectancy is 2.54 in total, split 1.28 to Blackburn and 1.26 to Stoke City. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is blackburn or Stoke City (no draw) at 72%. At 1.30 with 1xBet the market prices it at 77%, against 72% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Blackburn have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 8 conceded, Stoke City 3 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 4.

Blackburn vs Stoke City goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 54% and under 3.5 75%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 72% and over 2.5 at 46%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 22Bet pay 1.75.

The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Blackburn scoring in 72% of runs and Stoke City in 72%; clean sheets come at 28% for Blackburn and 28% for Stoke City.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 1-0 at 10.1% and 0-1 at 9.9%.

With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Blackburn vs Stoke City; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Blackburn, full-time Blackburn is the top combination at 22%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.

All markets, Blackburn vs Stoke City

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Blackburn vs Stoke City, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Blackburn to win36%2.65
Draw28%3.32
Stoke City to win35%2.70
Blackburn, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
Stoke City, draw no bet49%fair 2.03

Double chance

Blackburn or draw65%1.47
Stoke City or draw64%1.49
Blackburn or Stoke City (no draw)72%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.01
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 3.98
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.77
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.58
Under 2.5 goals54%1.75
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.79
Not both teams to score47%1.96

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.15
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33

Team goals

Blackburn to score72%fair 1.39
Stoke City to score72%fair 1.40
Blackburn clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Stoke City clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Blackburn to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Stoke City to win to nil26%fair 3.91

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-010.1%
0-19.9%
2-18.1%
1-28%
0-07.9%

Half-time / full-time

Blackburn / Blackburn21.6%
Stoke City / Stoke City21%
Draw / Draw16.6%
Draw / Blackburn13.5%
Draw / Stoke City13.2%

Questions about Blackburn vs Stoke City

Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?

The model gives Blackburn the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Blackburn vs Stoke City correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Blackburn vs Stoke City both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Blackburn find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Stoke City in 72%.

What time does Blackburn vs Stoke City kick off?

Blackburn vs Stoke City starts at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Blackburn v Stoke CityBlackburn or Stoke City (no draw), 72%
1.30Bet