Championship
Round 14 Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Kick-off
PortsmouthHomeWWDWD
Tue 3 Nov
SwanseaAwayWWLLW362836
Portsmouth winDrawSwansea win
Championship
Round 14 Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Kick-off
PortsmouthHomeWWDWDSwanseaAwayWWLLW- Kick-off Tue 3 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.56 1.28 : 1.28
- Favourite
- 36% Portsmouth
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Portsmouth vs Swansea betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.58 | 3.24 | 2.64 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.58 | 3.24 | 2.64 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.64 | 3.30 | 2.56 | 1.93 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.58 | 3.24 | 2.64 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.58 | 3.24 | 2.64 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.55 | 3.35 | 2.65 | 1.92 | 1.79 | 1.74 | 1.94 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Portsmouth to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Portsmouth price at 2.64, Stake lead the draw at 3.35 and Stake have Swansea longest at 2.65.
The best-price payout across the three results is 94.8%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.80 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Stake) and no 2.00 (BC.Game).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Portsmouth or Swansea (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Swansea, full-time Swansea
21% chance4.69fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair
Portsmouth vs Swansea odds movement
Portsmouth win2.64+0.02
Draw3.35unchanged
Swansea win2.65unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.97unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.80+0.01
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 2 Nov, 06:34 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Portsmouth vs Swansea prediction
Portsmouth vs Swansea prediction, who wins and at what price
Portsmouth vs Swansea prediction for the Championship on Tuesday, 3 November 2026: the model calls it close, Portsmouth 36%, draw 28%, Swansea 36%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.28 for Portsmouth and 1.28 for Swansea, a total of 2.56, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Portsmouth or Swansea (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Portsmouth vs Swansea.
Portsmouth average 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Swansea 1.4 and 1.4 across 5.
How many goals in Portsmouth vs Swansea? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 54% and under 3.5 is 75%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; BC.Game pay 1.80.
Both teams to score is 53%: Portsmouth find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Swansea in 72%. Portsmouth keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Swansea 28%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 0-1 at 9.9% and 1-0 at 9.9%.
With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Portsmouth vs Swansea; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Swansea, full-time Swansea leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Portsmouth vs Swansea
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Portsmouth vs Swansea, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Portsmouth to win36%2.64
Draw28%3.35
Swansea to win36%2.65
Portsmouth, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Swansea, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Double chance
Portsmouth or draw64%1.47
Swansea or draw64%1.48
Portsmouth or Swansea (no draw)72%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%1.97
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.92
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Under 2.5 goals54%1.80
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.74
Not both teams to score47%2.00
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.13
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Portsmouth to score72%fair 1.39
Swansea to score72%fair 1.39
Portsmouth clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Swansea clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Portsmouth to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Swansea to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.7%
0-19.9%
1-09.9%
1-28.1%
2-18.1%
0-07.7%
Half-time / full-time
Swansea / Swansea21.3%
Portsmouth / Portsmouth21.3%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Draw / Swansea13.3%
Draw / Portsmouth13.3%
Questions about Portsmouth vs Swansea
Who will win Portsmouth vs Swansea?
The model gives Portsmouth the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Portsmouth vs Swansea correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 46% backs the same picture with less variance.
Portsmouth vs Swansea both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Portsmouth find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Swansea in 72%.
When is Portsmouth vs Swansea and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.