Championship
Round 14 Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Kick-off
WatfordHomeLLWLL
Tue 3 Nov
LincolnAwayLLDWL402733
Watford winDrawLincoln win
Championship
Round 14 Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Kick-off
WatfordHomeLLWLLLincolnAwayLLDWL- Kick-off Tue 3 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.71 1.43 : 1.28
- Favourite
- 40% Watford
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Watford vs Lincoln
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.34 | 2.79 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.40 | 3.34 | 2.79 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.40 | 3.35 | 2.80 | 1.84 | 1.87 | 1.65 | 2.08 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.40 | 3.34 | 2.79 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.40 | 3.34 | 2.79 | 1.86 | 1.88 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.35 | 3.35 | 2.90 | 1.81 | 1.89 | 1.67 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Watford to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Watford price at 2.40, Stake lead the draw at 3.35 and Stake have Lincoln longest at 2.90.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.86 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.89 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (Stake) and no 2.09 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Watford or Lincoln (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.86
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Watford, full-time Watford
24% chance4.15fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair
Watford vs Lincoln prediction
Watford vs Lincoln prediction and best bet
Watford vs Lincoln prediction for the Championship on Tuesday, 3 November 2026: the model calls it close, Watford 40%, draw 27%, Lincoln 33%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Watford are expected to score 1.43 and Lincoln 1.28, so the total line is 2.71 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Watford vs Lincoln is watford or Lincoln (no draw), a 73% chance. At 1.30 with Stake the market prices it at 77%, against 73% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Watford average 1.0 goals scored and 2.6 conceded across their last 5, Lincoln 1.4 and 3.0 across 5.
How many goals in Watford vs Lincoln? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 50%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 50%, best priced 1.86 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 56%: Watford find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Lincoln in 72%. Watford keep a clean sheet 28% of the time and Lincoln 24%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Watford vs Lincoln: 1-1 (12.2%), 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.7%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Watford, full-time Watford leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Watford vs Lincoln
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 40% / 27% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Watford to win40%2.40
Draw27%3.35
Lincoln to win33%2.90
Watford, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Lincoln, draw no bet45%fair 2.20
Double chance
Watford or draw67%1.40
Lincoln or draw60%1.55
Watford or Lincoln (no draw)73%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.86
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.47
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.19
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Under 2.5 goals50%1.89
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.67
Not both teams to score44%2.09
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.91
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Watford to score76%fair 1.31
Lincoln to score72%fair 1.39
Watford clean sheet28%fair 3.60
Lincoln clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Watford to win to nil26%fair 3.91
Lincoln to win to nil22%fair 4.55
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.2%
1-09.5%
2-18.7%
0-18.5%
1-27.8%
2-06.8%
Half-time / full-time
Watford / Watford24.1%
Lincoln / Lincoln19.5%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Draw / Watford14.1%
Draw / Lincoln12.1%
Questions about Watford vs Lincoln
Who will win Watford vs Lincoln?
The model gives Watford the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Watford vs Lincoln correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Watford vs Lincoln?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Watford find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Lincoln in 72%.
When is Watford vs Lincoln and where is the result shown?
Watford vs Lincoln starts at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.