Championship
Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
LincolnHomeLLDWL
4:1Half-time 1:1
BurnleyAwayWDLLD352738
Lincoln winDrawBurnley win
Championship
Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
LincolnHomeLLDWLBurnleyAwayWDLLD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.74 1.34 : 1.40
- Favourite
- 38% Burnley
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Lincoln vs Burnley betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.77 | 3.42 | 2.38 | 1.85 | 1.89 | 1.66 | 2.09 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Burnley to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Lincoln vs Burnley are 2.77 for Lincoln at 1xBet, 3.42 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.38 for Burnley at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.85 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.89 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.66 (1xBet) and no 2.09 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
74%
Our prediction
Lincoln or Burnley (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.85
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.66
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Burnley, full-time Burnley
23% chance4.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Lincoln vs Burnley odds movement
Lincoln win2.77-0.03
Draw3.42-0.18
Burnley win2.38-0.17
Over 2.5 goals1.85-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.89-0.09
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Lincoln vs Burnley prediction
Our Lincoln vs Burnley prediction and pick
The Lincoln vs Burnley prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Championship on Saturday, 24 October 2026 gives Lincoln a 35% chance, Burnley 38% and the draw 27%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.34 for Lincoln and 1.40 for Burnley, a total of 2.74, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Lincoln or Burnley (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.28. That price implies 78%, 5 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Lincoln have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 15 conceded, Burnley 1 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 8.
How many goals in Lincoln vs Burnley? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 51%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 49% and under 3.5 is 71%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.85 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 56%: Lincoln find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Burnley in 75%. Lincoln keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Burnley 26%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.1%, then 0-1 at 9% and 1-0 at 8.7%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Burnley, full-time Burnley leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Lincoln vs Burnley
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 35% / 27% / 38% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Lincoln to win35%2.77
Draw27%3.42
Burnley to win38%2.38
Lincoln, draw no bet48%fair 2.08
Burnley, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Double chance
Lincoln or draw62%1.53
Burnley or draw65%1.40
Lincoln or Burnley (no draw)74%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.85
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.15
Under 2.5 goals49%1.89
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.66
Not both teams to score44%2.09
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Lincoln to score74%fair 1.36
Burnley to score75%fair 1.33
Lincoln clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Burnley clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Lincoln to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Burnley to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
0-19%
1-08.7%
1-28.5%
2-18.1%
0-06.5%
Half-time / full-time
Burnley / Burnley22.8%
Lincoln / Lincoln21%
Draw / Draw15.1%
Draw / Burnley13.5%
Draw / Lincoln12.7%
Questions about Lincoln vs Burnley
Lincoln or Burnley: which side does the model back?
The model gives Burnley the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Lincoln vs Burnley correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Lincoln vs Burnley?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Lincoln find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Burnley in 75%.
What time does Lincoln vs Burnley kick off?
Lincoln vs Burnley starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.