Championship
Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
PortsmouthHomeWWDWD
2:1Half-time 1:1
MillwallAwayWLDLW392833
Portsmouth winDrawMillwall win
Championship
Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
PortsmouthHomeWWDWDMillwallAwayWLDLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.64 1.39 : 1.25
- Favourite
- 39% Portsmouth
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Portsmouth vs Millwall odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.49 | 3.22 | 2.76 | 1.95 | 1.79 | 1.72 | 2.01 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Portsmouth to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction: Portsmouth 2.49 (1xBet), draw 3.22 (1xBet), Millwall 2.76 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.95 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.72 (1xBet) and no 2.01 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Portsmouth or Millwall (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.06fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Portsmouth, full-time Portsmouth
24% chance4.20fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.44fair
Portsmouth vs Millwall odds movement
Portsmouth win2.49-0.07
Draw3.22-0.18
Millwall win2.76-0.14
Over 2.5 goals1.95-0.08
Under 2.5 goals1.79-0.08
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction
Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction, who wins and at what price
Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction for the Championship on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model calls it close, Portsmouth 39%, draw 28%, Millwall 33%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 2.64 in total, split 1.39 to Portsmouth and 1.25 to Millwall. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is portsmouth or Millwall (no draw) at 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Portsmouth vs Millwall.
Form check: Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 4 conceded, Millwall 2 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 6.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Portsmouth vs Millwall
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 73%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 55%. Portsmouth score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Millwall; Millwall score in 71% while Portsmouth shut them out 29% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%, followed by 1-0 (9.9%) and 0-1 (8.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Portsmouth, full-time Portsmouth is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market for Portsmouth vs Millwall
The grid built from 1.39 and 1.25 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Portsmouth to win39%2.49
Draw28%3.22
Millwall to win33%2.76
Portsmouth, draw no bet54%fair 1.84
Millwall, draw no bet46%fair 2.19
Double chance
Portsmouth or draw67%1.40
Millwall or draw61%1.49
Portsmouth or Millwall (no draw)72%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.95
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%1.79
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.72
Not both teams to score45%2.01
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
Portsmouth to score75%fair 1.33
Millwall to score71%fair 1.40
Portsmouth clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Millwall clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Portsmouth to win to nil26%fair 3.79
Millwall to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.4%
1-09.9%
0-18.9%
2-18.6%
1-27.7%
0-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
Portsmouth / Portsmouth23.8%
Millwall / Millwall19.5%
Draw / Draw15.8%
Draw / Portsmouth14.2%
Draw / Millwall12.2%
Questions about Portsmouth vs Millwall
Who is favourite in Portsmouth vs Millwall?
The model gives Portsmouth the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Portsmouth vs Millwall?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Portsmouth vs Millwall both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Portsmouth find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Millwall in 71%.
When do Portsmouth play Millwall?
Portsmouth vs Millwall starts at 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.