Championship
Round 13 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
LincolnHomeLLDWL
1:3Half-time 0:1
BirminghamAwayWWWLW282745
Lincoln winDrawBirmingham win
Championship
Round 13 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
LincolnHomeLLDWLBirminghamAwayWWWLW- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.64 1.14 : 1.50
- Favourite
- 45% Birmingham
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Lincoln vs Birmingham odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.24 | 3.42 | 2.13 | 1.90 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 2.01 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.28 | 3.42 | 2.19 | 2.05 | 1.77 | 1.78 | 2.04 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.15 | 3.35 | 2.20 | 1.94 | 1.79 | 1.76 | 1.95 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.28 | 3.42 | 2.19 | 2.05 | 1.77 | 1.78 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.28 | 3.42 | 2.19 | 2.05 | 1.77 | 1.78 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.22 | 1.92 | 1.82 | 1.75 | 1.96 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Birmingham to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Lincoln price at 3.28, Melbet lead the draw at 3.42 and Stake have Birmingham longest at 2.22.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.05 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.84 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (Melbet) and no 2.04 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Lincoln or Birmingham (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.84
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Birmingham, full-time Birmingham
27% chance3.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.44fair
Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction
Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction and best bet
Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction for the Championship on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Birmingham marginally ahead at 45%, with the draw at 27% and Lincoln at 28%.
Lincoln are expected to score 1.14 and Birmingham 1.50, so the total line is 2.64 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Lincoln vs Birmingham is lincoln or Birmingham (no draw), a 73% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Lincoln vs Birmingham.
Form check: Lincoln have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 15 conceded, Birmingham 4 of 5 scoring 11 and conceding 2.
How many goals in Lincoln vs Birmingham? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.84.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Lincoln score in 68% of simulations against a 32% clean sheet for Birmingham; Birmingham score in 78% while Lincoln shut them out 22% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%, followed by 0-1 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Birmingham, full-time Birmingham is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
All markets, Lincoln vs Birmingham
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 28% / 27% / 45% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Lincoln to win28%3.28
Draw27%3.42
Birmingham to win45%2.22
Lincoln, draw no bet38%fair 2.62
Birmingham, draw no bet62%fair 1.62
Double chance
Lincoln or draw55%1.67
Birmingham or draw72%1.34
Lincoln or Birmingham (no draw)73%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%1.84
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.78
Not both teams to score46%2.04
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
Lincoln to score68%fair 1.47
Birmingham to score78%fair 1.29
Lincoln clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Birmingham clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Lincoln to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Birmingham to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.2%
0-110.7%
1-29.2%
1-08.1%
0-28%
0-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
Birmingham / Birmingham27.4%
Lincoln / Lincoln16.4%
Draw / Birmingham15.6%
Draw / Draw15.6%
Draw / Lincoln10.7%
Questions about Lincoln vs Birmingham
Who is favourite in Lincoln vs Birmingham?
The model gives Birmingham the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Lincoln vs Birmingham?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Lincoln vs Birmingham?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Lincoln find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Birmingham in 78%.
What time does Lincoln vs Birmingham kick off?
Kick-off is 12:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.