Championship
Round 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
SouthamptonHomeWWDWW
0:0Half-time 0:0
BoltonAwayLWDLL691813
Southampton winDrawBolton win
Championship
Round 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
SouthamptonHomeWWDWWBoltonAwayLWDLL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.54 2.49 : 1.05
- Favourite
- 69% Southampton
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Southampton vs Bolton betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.20 | 1.37 | 2.66 | 1.55 | 2.30 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Southampton to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Southampton vs Bolton prediction: Southampton 1.42 (1xBet), draw 4.90 (1xBet), Bolton 6.20 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.37 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.66 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (1xBet) and no 2.30 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
69%
Our prediction
Southampton to win
Double chanceSouthampton or draw
86% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.37
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.64fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Southampton, full-time Southampton
47% chance2.15fair
Southampton vs Bolton odds movement
Southampton win1.42-0.06
Draw4.90-0.35
Bolton win6.20-0.42
Over 2.5 goals1.37-0.08
Under 2.5 goals2.66-0.34
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Southampton vs Bolton prediction
Southampton vs Bolton prediction and best bet
Southampton host Bolton on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Championship, and the model has Southampton at 69%, the draw at 18% and Bolton at 14%: that is the Southampton vs Bolton prediction in one line.
Southampton are expected to score 2.49 and Bolton 1.05, so the total line is 3.54 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 61%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Southampton vs Bolton is southampton to win, a 69% chance. At 1.42 with 1xBet the market prices it at 70%, against 69% from the model.
For a safer line, southampton or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.10.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Form check: Southampton have won 4 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 3 conceded, Bolton 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 11.
Goals forecast for Southampton vs Bolton with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Southampton vs Bolton reads 87% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 47% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.37.
BTTS yes stands at 61%. Southampton score in 92% of simulations against a 8% clean sheet for Bolton; Bolton score in 65% while Southampton shut them out 35% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.4%, followed by 2-0 (9%) and 3-1 (7.8%).
With the top scoreline at 9.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Southampton vs Bolton; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Southampton, full-time Southampton leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Southampton vs Bolton
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 69% / 18% / 14% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Southampton to win69%1.42
Draw18%4.90
Bolton to win14%6.20
Southampton, draw no bet83%fair 1.20
Bolton, draw no bet17%fair 5.99
Double chance
Southampton or draw86%1.10
Bolton or draw31%2.74
Southampton or Bolton (no draw)83%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%1.37
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.12
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.55
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.58
Under 2.5 goals33%2.66
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.89
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.55
Not both teams to score39%2.30
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17
Team goals
Southampton to score92%fair 1.09
Bolton to score65%fair 1.54
Southampton clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Bolton clean sheet8%fair 12.05
Southampton to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Bolton to win to nil8%fair 13.16
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.4%
2-09%
3-17.8%
1-17.6%
3-07.5%
1-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Southampton / Southampton46.6%
Draw / Southampton18.4%
Draw / Draw9.1%
Bolton / Bolton7.8%
Draw / Bolton5.1%
Questions about Southampton vs Bolton
Southampton or Bolton: which side does the model back?
The model gives Southampton the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 18%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Southampton vs Bolton correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Southampton vs Bolton both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Southampton find the net in 92% of simulated matches and Bolton in 65%.
When is Southampton vs Bolton and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.