Championship
Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
CardiffHomeLWDWL
1:0Half-time 1:0
BirminghamAwayWWWLW362440
Cardiff winDrawBirmingham win
Championship
Round 12 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
CardiffHomeLWDWLBirminghamAwayWWWLW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.28 1.60 : 1.68
- Favourite
- 40% Birmingham
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Cardiff vs Birmingham betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.69 | 3.64 | 2.33 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.43 | 2.63 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Birmingham to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Cardiff price at 2.69, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.64 and 1xBet have Birmingham longest at 2.33.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.47 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.35 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.43 (1xBet) and no 2.63 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Cardiff or Birmingham (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.47
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.43
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
84% chance1.19fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.90fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Birmingham, full-time Birmingham
24% chance4.12fair
First halfFirst-half goal
77% chance1.30fair
Cardiff vs Birmingham odds movement
Cardiff win2.69-0.11
Draw3.64-0.30
Birmingham win2.33-0.12
Over 2.5 goals1.47-0.08
Under 2.5 goals2.35-0.29
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction
Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction, who wins and at what price
The Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Championship on Saturday, 24 October 2026 gives Cardiff a 36% chance, Birmingham 40% and the draw 24%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 3.28 in total, split 1.60 to Cardiff and 1.68 to Birmingham. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 66%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Cardiff vs Birmingham is cardiff or Birmingham (no draw), a 76% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.25. That price implies 80%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cardiff vs Birmingham.
Over the last 5 matches Cardiff stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Birmingham show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Cardiff vs Birmingham over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 36% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 64%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.47 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 66%: Cardiff find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Birmingham in 81%. Cardiff keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Birmingham 20%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.1%, followed by 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Birmingham, full-time Birmingham leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Cardiff vs Birmingham
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 36% / 24% / 40% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Cardiff to win36%2.69
Draw24%3.64
Birmingham to win40%2.33
Cardiff, draw no bet48%fair 2.10
Birmingham, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Double chance
Cardiff or draw60%1.55
Birmingham or draw64%1.42
Cardiff or Birmingham (no draw)76%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals84%fair 1.19
Over 2.5 goals64%1.47
Over 3.5 goals42%fair 2.41
Over 4.5 goals23%fair 4.27
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.21
Under 2.5 goals36%2.35
Under 3.5 goals59%fair 1.71
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.43
Not both teams to score34%2.63
Halves
First-half goal77%fair 1.30
Over 1.5 first-half goals43%fair 2.30
Second-half goal84%fair 1.20
Team goals
Cardiff to score80%fair 1.25
Birmingham to score81%fair 1.23
Cardiff clean sheet19%fair 5.38
Birmingham clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Cardiff to win to nil17%fair 5.85
Birmingham to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.1%
1-28.5%
2-18.1%
2-26.8%
0-16.3%
1-06%
Half-time / full-time
Birmingham / Birmingham24.3%
Cardiff / Cardiff22%
Draw / Birmingham12.9%
Draw / Draw12.2%
Draw / Cardiff12%
Questions about Cardiff vs Birmingham
Who is favourite in Cardiff vs Birmingham?
The model gives Birmingham the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Cardiff vs Birmingham correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 64% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Birmingham?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Cardiff find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Birmingham in 81%.
When is Cardiff vs Birmingham and where is the result shown?
Cardiff vs Birmingham starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.