Série A Round 31 Sunday, 18 October 2026 FT

FluminenseHomeLLWLW

1:2Half-time 1:0

SantosAwayDLWDD

452728

Fluminense winDrawSantos win

Kick-off: 19:00
Expected goals: 2.85
Favourite: 45%
Over 2.5 goals: 54%
Both teams to score: 58%
Prices compared: 1

Best odds for Fluminense vs Santos

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Over 2.5	Under 2.5	BTTS yes	BTTS no
1xBet	2.15	3.66	3.30	1.81	2.04	1.62	2.17	Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Fluminense to win partner prices

1xBetBest price2.15Bet now

1xBet pay the best Fluminense price at 2.15, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.66 and 1xBet have Santos longest at 3.30.

The best-price payout across the three results is 96%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.04 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.62 (1xBet) and no 2.17 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

73%

Our prediction

Fluminense or Santos (no draw)

LeanExpected goals 1.61 : 1.24-5.2% against the best price

1.301xBet Bet at 1xBet

Goal lineOver 2.5 goals

54% chance1.81

BTTSBoth teams to score

58% chance1.62

Goal lineOver 1.5 goals

78% chance1.29fair

ScorelineCorrect score 1-1

12% chance8.70fair

Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fluminense, full-time Fluminense

28% chance3.57fair

First halfFirst-half goal

72% chance1.38fair

Fluminense vs Santos prediction

Fluminense vs Santos prediction and best bet

Fluminense vs Santos prediction for the Série A on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Fluminense marginally ahead at 45%, with the draw at 27% and Santos at 28%.

Expected goals are 1.61 for Fluminense and 1.24 for Santos, a total of 2.85, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Fluminense or Santos (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 1xBet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Fluminense vs Santos.

Fluminense average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Santos 1.2 and 1.2 across 5.

How many goals in Fluminense vs Santos? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 68%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.81.

BTTS yes stands at 58%. Fluminense score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Santos; Santos score in 71% while Fluminense shut them out 29% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.5%, then 1-0 at 9.3% and 2-1 at 9.3%.

With the top scoreline at 11.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Fluminense vs Santos; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fluminense, full-time Fluminense leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Fluminense vs Santos

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Fluminense vs Santos, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Fluminense to win45%2.15

Draw27%3.66

Santos to win28%3.30

Fluminense, draw no bet62%fair 1.63

Santos, draw no bet39%fair 2.60

Double chance

Fluminense or draw72%1.35

Santos or draw55%1.74

Fluminense or Santos (no draw)73%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06

Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29

Over 2.5 goals54%1.81

Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.13

Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.25

Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.48

Under 2.5 goals46%2.04

Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.62

Not both teams to score42%2.17

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.38

Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.72

Second-half goal79%fair 1.26

Team goals

Fluminense to score80%fair 1.25

Santos to score71%fair 1.41

Fluminense clean sheet29%fair 3.46

Santos clean sheet20%fair 5.00

Fluminense to win to nil27%fair 3.76

Santos to win to nil18%fair 5.43

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01

Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.5%

1-09.3%

2-19.3%

2-07.5%

0-17.2%

1-27.2%

Half-time / full-time

Fluminense / Fluminense28%

Santos / Santos16.9%

Draw / Fluminense15.3%

Draw / Draw14.2%

Draw / Santos10.6%

Questions about Fluminense vs Santos

Fluminense or Santos: which side does the model back?

The model gives Fluminense the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Fluminense vs Santos?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Santos?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Fluminense find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Santos in 71%.

When do Fluminense play Santos?

Fluminense vs Santos starts at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Fluminense v SantosFluminense or Santos (no draw), 73%

1.30 Bet