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Série A Round 32 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Chapecoense-scHomeLLLWL
2:1Half-time 1:1
FluminenseAwayLLWLW
212554
Chapecoense-sc winDrawFluminense win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.79
1.03 : 1.76
Favourite
54%
Fluminense
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.333.711.851.881.961.741.98Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Fluminense to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Chapecoense-sc price at 4.33, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.71 and 1xBet have Fluminense longest at 1.85.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.96 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

54%

Our prediction

Fluminense to win
StrongExpected goals 1.03 : 1.76-0.1% against the best price
Double chanceFluminense or draw
79% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.88
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fluminense, full-time Fluminense
34% chance2.93fair

Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense prediction

Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense prediction and best bet

Fluminense are a narrow favourite in the Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense prediction, rated 54% to win this Série A match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Chapecoense-sc sit at 21% and the draw at 25%.

Expected goals are 1.03 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.76 for Fluminense, a total of 2.79, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 54%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Fluminense to win is the main selection, rated 54%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.85. That price implies 54%, 0 points over the model figure.

For a safer line, fluminense or draw covers 79% of outcomes at 1.23.

Over the last 5 matches Chapecoense-sc stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Fluminense show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.88.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Chapecoense-sc scoring in 64% of runs and Fluminense in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for Chapecoense-sc and 36% for Fluminense.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.1%, then 0-1 at 10.8% and 1-2 at 9.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fluminense, full-time Fluminense leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense

The grid built from 1.03 and 1.76 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Chapecoense-sc to win21%4.33
Draw25%3.71
Fluminense to win54%1.85
Chapecoense-sc, draw no bet28%fair 3.53
Fluminense, draw no bet72%fair 1.39

Double chance

Chapecoense-sc or draw46%2.00
Fluminense or draw79%1.23
Chapecoense-sc or Fluminense (no draw)75%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.62
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.29
Under 2.5 goals47%1.96
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.44

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.74
Not both teams to score46%1.98

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.80
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Chapecoense-sc to score64%fair 1.56
Fluminense to score83%fair 1.21
Chapecoense-sc clean sheet17%fair 5.81
Fluminense clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Chapecoense-sc to win to nil16%fair 6.33
Fluminense to win to nil33%fair 3.05

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
0-110.8%
1-29.8%
0-29.5%
1-06.3%
0-06.1%

Half-time / full-time

Fluminense / Fluminense34.1%
Draw / Fluminense17.6%
Draw / Draw14%
Chapecoense-sc / Chapecoense-sc12.3%
Draw / Chapecoense-sc8.3%

Questions about Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense

Who is favourite in Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?

The model gives Fluminense the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Chapecoense-sc find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Fluminense in 83%.

What time does Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense kick off?

Kick-off is 22:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Chapecoense-sc v FluminenseFluminense to win, 54%
1.85Bet