Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc prediction

Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc prediction, who wins and at what price

Botafogo host Chapecoense-sc on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Série A, and the model has Botafogo at 73%, the draw at 17% and Chapecoense-sc at 11%: that is the Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.61 for Botafogo and 0.93 for Chapecoense-sc, a total of 3.54, which puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 57%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is botafogo to win at 73%. At 1.36 with 1xBet the market prices it at 74%, against 73% from the model.

For a safer line, botafogo or draw covers 90% of outcomes at 1.09.

The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Botafogo average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Chapecoense-sc 0.6 and 2.6 across 5.

Goals forecast for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc reads 87% for over 1.5, 68% for over 2.5 and 47% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 32%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%; 1xBet pay 1.39.

Both teams to score is 57%: Botafogo find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Chapecoense-sc in 61%. Botafogo keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Chapecoense-sc 7%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc: 2-0 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.6%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Botafogo, full-time Botafogo is the top combination at 51%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.