Série A
Round 32 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
SantosHomeDLWDD
1:1Half-time 0:1
BahiaAwayLWLDW522325
Santos winDrawBahia win
Série A
Round 32 Sunday, 25 October 2026
FT
SantosHomeDLWDDBahiaAwayLWLDW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.21 1.92 : 1.29
- Favourite
- 52% Santos
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Santos vs Bahia betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.98 | 3.92 | 1.55 | 2.39 | 1.50 | 2.42 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Santos to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Santos vs Bahia prediction: Santos 1.87 (1xBet), draw 3.98 (1xBet), Bahia 3.92 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.55 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.39 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (1xBet) and no 2.42 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
52%
Our prediction
Santos to win
Double chanceSantos or Bahia (no draw)
77% chance1.27
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.55
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Santos, full-time Santos
33% chance3.05fair
Santos vs Bahia prediction
Santos vs Bahia prediction and best bet
Santos vs Bahia prediction for the Série A on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model makes Santos a narrow favourite at 52%, with the draw at 23% and Bahia at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 3.21 in total, split 1.92 to Santos and 1.29 to Bahia. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 63%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Santos vs Bahia is santos to win, a 52% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.87. That price implies 53%, 2 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Santos vs Bahia.
Santos or Bahia (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.27.
Over the last 5 matches Santos stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Bahia show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Santos vs Bahia over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 62%, over 3.5 at 40%; under 2.5 is 38% and under 3.5 is 60%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%, best priced 1.55 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Santos scoring in 85% of runs and Bahia in 73%; clean sheets come at 28% for Santos and 15% for Bahia.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%, followed by 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (7.7%).
With the top scoreline at 10%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Santos vs Bahia; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Santos, full-time Santos leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Santos vs Bahia
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Santos vs Bahia, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Santos to win52%1.87
Draw23%3.98
Bahia to win25%3.92
Santos, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Bahia, draw no bet33%fair 3.05
Double chance
Santos or draw75%1.27
Bahia or draw48%1.97
Santos or Bahia (no draw)77%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.55
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.50
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 2.5 goals38%2.39
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
BTTS
Both teams to score63%1.50
Not both teams to score37%2.42
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.36
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Santos to score85%fair 1.17
Bahia to score73%fair 1.38
Santos clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Bahia clean sheet15%fair 6.80
Santos to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Bahia to win to nil14%fair 7.41
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110%
2-19.6%
1-07.7%
2-07.4%
1-26.4%
2-26.2%
Half-time / full-time
Santos / Santos32.8%
Draw / Santos16%
Bahia / Bahia14.7%
Draw / Draw12%
Draw / Bahia9%
Questions about Santos vs Bahia
Who will win Santos vs Bahia?
The model gives Santos the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Santos vs Bahia?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Santos vs Bahia?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Santos find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Bahia in 73%.
When do Santos play Bahia?
Santos vs Bahia starts at 00:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.