Série A
Round 31 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Atletico-MGHomeWLLLL
1:0Half-time 0:0
CoritibaAwayLDLLW602317
Atletico-MG winDrawCoritiba win
Série A
Round 31 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Atletico-MGHomeWLLLLCoritibaAwayLDLLW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.88 1.94 : 0.94
- Favourite
- 60% Atletico-MG
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.11 | 5.20 | 1.81 | 2.04 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atletico-MG to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Atletico-MG price at 1.65, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.11 and 1xBet have Coritiba longest at 5.20.
The best-price payout across the three results is 96%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.04 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (1xBet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
60%
Our prediction
Atletico-MG to win
Double chanceAtletico-MG or draw
83% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
11% chance9.17fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico-MG, full-time Atletico-MG
39% chance2.56fair
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba prediction
Our Atletico-MG vs Coritiba prediction and pick
The Atletico-MG vs Coritiba prediction leans to Atletico-MG: 60% against 17% for Coritiba, with 23% left for the draw, in the Série A on Saturday, 17 October 2026.
Atletico-MG are expected to score 1.94 and Coritiba 0.94, so the total line is 2.88 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 53%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Atletico-MG to win is the main selection, rated 60%. The best price in our comparison is 1.65 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
Atletico-MG or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.18.
Atletico-MG average 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, Coritiba 0.6 and 1.4 across 5.
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
On the goal lines Atletico-MG vs Coritiba reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.81.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Atletico-MG score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for Coritiba; Coritiba score in 61% while Atletico-MG shut them out 39% of the time.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 10.9%, then 2-0 at 10.6% and 1-1 at 10.2%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atletico-MG, full-time Atletico-MG leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Atletico-MG vs Coritiba
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 60% / 23% / 17% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Atletico-MG to win60%1.65
Draw23%4.11
Coritiba to win17%5.20
Atletico-MG, draw no bet78%fair 1.28
Coritiba, draw no bet22%fair 4.55
Double chance
Atletico-MG or draw83%1.18
Coritiba or draw40%2.30
Atletico-MG or Coritiba (no draw)77%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals45%2.04
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.76
Not both teams to score47%1.96
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
Atletico-MG to score86%fair 1.17
Coritiba to score61%fair 1.64
Atletico-MG clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Coritiba clean sheet14%fair 6.94
Atletico-MG to win to nil36%fair 2.79
Coritiba to win to nil13%fair 7.58
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-010.9%
2-010.6%
1-110.2%
2-19.9%
3-06.8%
3-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
Atletico-MG / Atletico-MG39%
Draw / Atletico-MG18.8%
Draw / Draw12.9%
Coritiba / Coritiba9.7%
Draw / Coritiba6.8%
Questions about Atletico-MG vs Coritiba
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?
The model gives Atletico-MG the best chance at 60%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 10.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Atletico-MG vs Coritiba?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Atletico-MG find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Coritiba in 61%.
What time does Atletico-MG vs Coritiba kick off?
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba starts at 21:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.