Série A
Round 31 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Atletico ParanaenseHomeDWLDL
0:2Half-time 0:2
PalmeirasAwayWLWDW332839
Atletico Paranaense winDrawPalmeiras win
Série A
Round 31 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Atletico ParanaenseHomeDWLDLPalmeirasAwayWLWDW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.68 1.27 : 1.41
- Favourite
- 39% Palmeiras
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.90 | 3.46 | 2.45 | 1.96 | 1.88 | 1.71 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Palmeiras to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Atletico Paranaense price at 2.90, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.46 and 1xBet have Palmeiras longest at 2.45.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.96 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.88 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 2.02 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Atletico Paranaense or Palmeiras (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.96
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Palmeiras, full-time Palmeiras
24% chance4.18fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras prediction
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras prediction and best bet
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras prediction for the Série A on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model calls it close, Atletico Paranaense 33%, draw 28%, Palmeiras 39%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Atletico Paranaense are expected to score 1.27 and Palmeiras 1.41, so the total line is 2.68 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is atletico Paranaense or Palmeiras (no draw) at 72%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.33. That price implies 75%, 3 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras.
Form check: Atletico Paranaense have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 8 conceded, Palmeiras 3 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 1.
How many goals in Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 50% and under 3.5 is 72%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 50%, best priced 1.96 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Atletico Paranaense scoring in 72% of runs and Palmeiras in 76%; clean sheets come at 24% for Atletico Paranaense and 28% for Palmeiras.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.3%, then 0-1 at 9.7% and 1-0 at 8.7%.
With the top scoreline at 12.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Palmeiras, full-time Palmeiras is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market rated for Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
The grid built from 1.27 and 1.41 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Atletico Paranaense to win33%2.90
Draw28%3.46
Palmeiras to win39%2.45
Atletico Paranaense, draw no bet46%fair 2.20
Palmeiras, draw no bet55%fair 1.83
Double chance
Atletico Paranaense or draw61%1.58
Palmeiras or draw67%1.43
Atletico Paranaense or Palmeiras (no draw)72%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%1.96
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.55
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.46
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.97
Under 2.5 goals50%1.88
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.71
Not both teams to score45%2.02
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.94
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Atletico Paranaense to score72%fair 1.39
Palmeiras to score76%fair 1.32
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Palmeiras clean sheet28%fair 3.56
Atletico Paranaense to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Palmeiras to win to nil26%fair 3.88
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
0-19.7%
1-08.7%
1-28.7%
2-17.8%
0-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Palmeiras / Palmeiras23.9%
Atletico Paranaense / Atletico Paranaense19.6%
Draw / Draw15.5%
Draw / Palmeiras14.1%
Draw / Atletico Paranaense12.2%
Questions about Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense or Palmeiras: which side does the model back?
The model gives Palmeiras the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Atletico Paranaense find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Palmeiras in 76%.
When is Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras and where is the result shown?
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras starts at 22:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.