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Série A Round 33 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
SantosHomeDLWDD
0:0Half-time 0:0
PalmeirasAwayWLWDW
282646
Santos winDrawPalmeiras win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.77
1.19 : 1.58
Favourite
46%
Palmeiras
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Best odds for Santos vs Palmeiras

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.363.482.191.842.011.632.14Bet
22Bet4.043.401.951.742.101.642.26Bet
BC.Game3.553.551.941.771.961.682.08Bet
Betwinner4.043.401.951.742.101.642.26Bet
Melbet4.043.401.951.742.101.642.26Bet
Stake3.703.601.961.761.991.662.09Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Palmeiras to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Santos vs Palmeiras are 4.04 for Santos at Melbet, 3.60 for the draw at Stake and 2.19 for Palmeiras at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 101.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.84 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.10 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (BC.Game) and no 2.26 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Santos or Palmeiras (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.19 : 1.58-2% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.84
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Palmeiras, full-time Palmeiras
28% chance3.55fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.40fair

Santos v Palmeiras head to head

0Santos wins
1Draw
0Palmeiras wins
  • 3 Sep 26Santos0:0Palmeiras

1 meeting since coverage began, 0 goals in total: Santos scored 0, Palmeiras scored 0.

Santos vs Palmeiras prediction

Our Santos vs Palmeiras prediction and pick

Palmeiras are marginally ahead in the Santos vs Palmeiras prediction, rated 46% to win this Série A match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Santos sit at 28% and the draw at 26%.

Expected goals are 1.19 for Santos and 1.58 for Palmeiras, a total of 2.77, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 56%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is santos or Palmeiras (no draw) at 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

Form check: Santos have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Palmeiras 3 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 1.

How many goals in Santos vs Palmeiras? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 52%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.84.

BTTS yes stands at 56%. Santos score in 70% of simulations against a 30% clean sheet for Palmeiras; Palmeiras score in 79% while Santos shut them out 21% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.8%, then 0-1 at 9.9% and 1-2 at 9.3%.

With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Santos vs Palmeiras; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Palmeiras, full-time Palmeiras is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

Every market for Santos vs Palmeiras

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Santos vs Palmeiras, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Santos to win28%4.04
Draw26%3.60
Palmeiras to win46%2.19
Santos, draw no bet38%fair 2.64
Palmeiras, draw no bet62%fair 1.61

Double chance

Santos or draw54%1.85
Palmeiras or draw72%1.34
Santos or Palmeiras (no draw)74%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.84
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals48%2.10
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.68
Not both teams to score44%2.26

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Santos to score70%fair 1.44
Palmeiras to score79%fair 1.26
Santos clean sheet21%fair 4.85
Palmeiras clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Santos to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Palmeiras to win to nil28%fair 3.57

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
0-19.9%
1-29.3%
0-27.8%
1-07.5%
2-17%

Half-time / full-time

Palmeiras / Palmeiras28.2%
Santos / Santos16.4%
Draw / Palmeiras15.6%
Draw / Draw14.7%
Draw / Santos10.5%

Questions about Santos vs Palmeiras

Who will win Santos vs Palmeiras?

The model gives Palmeiras the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Santos vs Palmeiras?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Santos vs Palmeiras?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Santos find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Palmeiras in 79%.

What time does Santos vs Palmeiras kick off?

Kick-off is 22:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Santos v PalmeirasSantos or Palmeiras (no draw), 74%
1.33Bet