Série A
Round 32 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
VitoriaHomeWLDDL
1:1Half-time 1:1
Atletico ParanaenseAwayDWLDL362836
Vitoria winDrawAtletico Paranaense win
Série A
Round 32 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
VitoriaHomeWLDDLAtletico ParanaenseAwayDWLDL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.68 1.34 : 1.34
- Favourite
- 36% Vitoria
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.72 | 3.36 | 2.66 | 1.94 | 1.90 | 1.68 | 2.06 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Vitoria to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense are 2.72 for Vitoria at 1xBet, 3.36 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.66 for Atletico Paranaense at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.94 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.90 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (1xBet) and no 2.06 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Vitoria or Atletico Paranaense (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.94
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.13fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico Paranaense, full-time Atletico Paranaense
22% chance4.61fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.43fair
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense prediction
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 36% home, 28% draw and 36% away in the Série A. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 2.68 in total, split 1.34 to Vitoria and 1.34 to Atletico Paranaense. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 56%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense is vitoria or Atletico Paranaense (no draw), a 72% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.34. That price implies 75%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Vitoria have won 1 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 6 conceded, Atletico Paranaense 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 8.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 75%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 50% and under 3.5 is 72%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 50%, best priced 1.94 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 56%, built from Vitoria scoring in 74% of runs and Atletico Paranaense in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Vitoria and 26% for Atletico Paranaense.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense: 1-1 (12.3%), 0-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (9.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atletico Paranaense, full-time Atletico Paranaense leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense
The grid built from 1.34 and 1.34 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Vitoria to win36%2.72
Draw28%3.36
Atletico Paranaense to win36%2.66
Vitoria, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Atletico Paranaense, draw no bet50%fair 2.00
Double chance
Vitoria or draw64%1.50
Atletico Paranaense or draw64%1.48
Vitoria or Atletico Paranaense (no draw)72%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals50%1.94
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.55
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.46
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 3.97
Under 2.5 goals50%1.90
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.39
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.68
Not both teams to score44%2.06
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.94
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Vitoria to score74%fair 1.36
Atletico Paranaense to score74%fair 1.36
Vitoria clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Vitoria to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Atletico Paranaense to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
0-19.2%
1-09.2%
1-28.2%
2-18.2%
0-06.9%
Half-time / full-time
Atletico Paranaense / Atletico Paranaense21.7%
Vitoria / Vitoria21.7%
Draw / Draw15.5%
Draw / Atletico Paranaense13.2%
Draw / Vitoria13.2%
Questions about Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense
Who will win Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model gives Vitoria the best chance at 36%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Vitoria find the net in 74% of simulated matches and Atletico Paranaense in 74%.
What time does Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense kick off?
Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense starts at 19:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.