Série A
Round 33 Friday, 30 October 2026
FT
GremioHomeDLWWW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Atletico ParanaenseAwayDWLDL412831
Gremio winDrawAtletico Paranaense win
Série A
Round 33 Friday, 30 October 2026
FT
GremioHomeDLWWWAtletico ParanaenseAwayDWLDL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.70 1.46 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 41% Gremio
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.40 | 3.14 | 1.92 | 1.92 | 1.67 | 2.08 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.26 | 3.42 | 3.13 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.68 | 2.19 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.22 | 3.35 | 3.05 | 1.79 | 1.94 | 1.65 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.34 | 3.50 | 2.95 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.68 | 2.19 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.34 | 3.50 | 2.95 | 1.84 | 1.97 | 1.65 | 2.25 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.26 | 3.45 | 3.05 | 1.76 | 1.99 | 1.64 | 2.13 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Gremio to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Gremio price at 2.34, Melbet lead the draw at 3.50 and 1xBet have Atletico Paranaense longest at 3.14.
The best-price payout across the three results is 96.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.92 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.99 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (22Bet) and no 2.25 (Melbet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Gremio or Atletico Paranaense (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.92
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Gremio, full-time Gremio
25% chance3.97fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.42fair
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense prediction
Our Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense prediction and pick
The Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense prediction leans to Gremio: 41% against 31% for Atletico Paranaense, with 28% left for the draw, in the Série A on Friday, 30 October 2026.
Gremio are expected to score 1.46 and Atletico Paranaense 1.24, so the total line is 2.70 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 56%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense is gremio or Atletico Paranaense (no draw), a 72% chance. At 1.34 with 1xBet the market prices it at 75%, against 72% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense.
Form check: Gremio have won 3 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 5 conceded, Atletico Paranaense 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 8.
Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 50% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 75% and over 2.5 at 50%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 50%; 1xBet pay 1.92.
Both teams to score is 56%: Gremio find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Atletico Paranaense in 71%. Gremio keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and Atletico Paranaense 23%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: 1-1 (12.2%), 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (8.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Gremio, full-time Gremio is the top combination at 25%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
All markets, Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense
The grid built from 1.46 and 1.24 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Gremio to win41%2.34
Draw28%3.50
Atletico Paranaense to win31%3.14
Gremio, draw no bet57%fair 1.75
Atletico Paranaense, draw no bet43%fair 2.34
Double chance
Gremio or draw69%1.40
Atletico Paranaense or draw59%1.63
Gremio or Atletico Paranaense (no draw)72%1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%1.92
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.50
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Under 2.5 goals50%1.99
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.68
Not both teams to score44%2.25
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.92
Second-half goal77%fair 1.29
Team goals
Gremio to score77%fair 1.30
Atletico Paranaense to score71%fair 1.41
Gremio clean sheet29%fair 3.46
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Gremio to win to nil27%fair 3.76
Atletico Paranaense to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.2%
1-09.8%
2-18.9%
0-18.3%
1-27.5%
2-07.2%
Half-time / full-time
Gremio / Gremio25.2%
Atletico Paranaense / Atletico Paranaense18.5%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Draw / Gremio14.6%
Draw / Atletico Paranaense11.6%
Questions about Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense
Gremio or Atletico Paranaense: which side does the model back?
The model gives Gremio the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 50% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Gremio find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Atletico Paranaense in 71%.
When is Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 00:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.