Coritiba vs Gremio prediction

Coritiba vs Gremio prediction and best bet

Coritiba host Gremio on Monday, 26 October 2026 in the Série A, and the model has Coritiba at 43%, the draw at 27% and Gremio at 30%: that is the Coritiba vs Gremio prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.70 in total, split 1.50 to Coritiba and 1.20 to Gremio. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 55%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Coritiba vs Gremio is coritiba or Gremio (no draw), a 73% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.35. That price implies 74%, 1 points over the model figure.

Over the last 5 matches Coritiba stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Gremio show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Coritiba vs Gremio

On the goal lines Coritiba vs Gremio reads 75% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 50%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.95 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 55%. Coritiba score in 78% of simulations against a 22% clean sheet for Gremio; Gremio score in 70% while Coritiba shut them out 30% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Coritiba vs Gremio: 1-1 (12.1%), 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.1%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Coritiba, full-time Coritiba is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.