Copa Sudamericana
Atletico TorqueHomeLWWWW
2:0Half-time 0:0
Atletico-MGAwayWLLLL283141
Atletico Torque winDrawAtletico-MG win
Atletico TorqueHomeLWWWWAtletico-MGAwayWLLLL- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.40 1.07 : 1.33
- Favourite
- 41% Atletico-MG
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.34 | 3.18 | 2.45 | 2.19 | 1.77 | 1.80 | 1.90 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atletico-MG to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Atletico Torque price at 3.34, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.18 and 1xBet have Atletico-MG longest at 2.45.
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.8%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.19 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.77 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (1xBet) and no 1.90 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
Atletico-MG or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.77
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atletico-MG, full-time Atletico-MG
25% chance3.98fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair
Atletico Torque v Atletico-MG head to head
0Atletico Torque wins
0Draws
1Atletico-MG wins
- 14 Oct 26Atletico-MG3:0Atletico Torque
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: Atletico Torque scored 0, Atletico-MG scored 3.
Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG prediction
Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG prediction, who wins and at what price
Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG prediction for the Copa Sudamericana on Wednesday, 21 October 2026: the model makes Atletico-MG marginally ahead at 41%, with the draw at 31% and Atletico Torque at 28%.
Expected goals are 1.07 for Atletico Torque and 1.33 for Atletico-MG, a total of 2.40, which puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG is atletico-MG or draw, a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.38 at 1xBet, which implies 72%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Form check: Atletico Torque have won 4 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 4 conceded, Atletico-MG 1 of 5 scoring 3 and conceding 8.
A low-scoring Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 78%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.77 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. Atletico Torque score in 66% of simulations against a 34% clean sheet for Atletico-MG; Atletico-MG score in 74% while Atletico Torque shut them out 26% of the time.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.9%, then 0-1 at 12.1% and 1-0 at 9.7%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atletico-MG, full-time Atletico-MG leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG
The grid built from 1.07 and 1.33 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Atletico Torque to win28%3.34
Draw31%3.18
Atletico-MG to win41%2.45
Atletico Torque, draw no bet41%fair 2.45
Atletico-MG, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
Double chance
Atletico Torque or draw59%1.63
Atletico-MG or draw72%1.38
Atletico Torque or Atletico-MG (no draw)69%1.41
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals43%2.19
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.42
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.25
Under 2.5 goals57%1.77
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.80
Not both teams to score49%1.90
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.40
Second-half goal73%fair 1.36
Team goals
Atletico Torque to score66%fair 1.52
Atletico-MG to score74%fair 1.36
Atletico Torque clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Atletico-MG clean sheet34%fair 2.92
Atletico Torque to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Atletico-MG to win to nil32%fair 3.16
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-112.1%
1-09.7%
0-09.1%
1-28.6%
0-28%
Half-time / full-time
Atletico-MG / Atletico-MG25.1%
Draw / Draw17.6%
Atletico Torque / Atletico Torque16.9%
Draw / Atletico-MG15.4%
Draw / Atletico Torque11.5%
Questions about Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG
Atletico Torque or Atletico-MG: which side does the model back?
The model gives Atletico-MG the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Atletico Torque find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Atletico-MG in 74%.
What time does Atletico Torque vs Atletico-MG kick off?
Kick-off is 22:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.