MLS
Round 32 Wednesday, 28 October 2026
FT
Toronto FCHomeDWLWL
2:1Half-time 0:1
DC UnitedAwayLLLLL512326
Toronto FC winDrawDC United win
MLS
Round 32 Wednesday, 28 October 2026
FT
Toronto FCHomeDWLWLDC UnitedAwayLLLLL- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.33 1.98 : 1.35
- Favourite
- 51% Toronto FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 65% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Toronto FC vs DC United odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.83 | 3.80 | 4.10 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.79 | 3.75 | 3.95 | 1.53 | 2.36 | 1.51 | 2.40 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.83 | 3.80 | 4.10 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.83 | 3.80 | 4.10 | 1.58 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.42 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.90 | - | - | 1.55 | 2.45 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Toronto FC to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Toronto FC price at 1.83, Melbet lead the draw at 3.80 and Melbet have DC United longest at 4.10.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.58 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.38 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.57 (Melbet) and no 2.45 (Stake).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
51%
Our prediction
Toronto FC to win
Double chanceToronto FC or DC United (no draw)
77% chance1.27
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
64% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.42fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Toronto FC, full-time Toronto FC
33% chance3.03fair
Toronto FC vs DC United prediction
Toronto FC vs DC United prediction and best bet
Toronto FC host DC United on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 in the MLS, and the model has Toronto FC at 51%, the draw at 23% and DC United at 25%: that is the Toronto FC vs DC United prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.33 in total, split 1.98 to Toronto FC and 1.35 to DC United. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 65%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Toronto FC vs DC United is toronto FC to win, a 51% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.83 at Melbet, which implies 55%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, toronto FC or DC United (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.27.
Form check: Toronto FC have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 11 conceded, DC United 0 of 5 scoring 3 and conceding 13.
Goals forecast for Toronto FC vs DC United with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 64%, over 3.5 at 43%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 57%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 64%; Melbet pay 1.58.
Both teams to score is 65%: Toronto FC find the net in 86% of simulated matches and DC United in 74%. Toronto FC keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and DC United 14%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.6%, followed by 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-0 (7.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Toronto FC, full-time Toronto FC leads at 33%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Toronto FC vs DC United
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Toronto FC vs DC United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Toronto FC to win51%1.83
Draw23%3.80
DC United to win25%4.10
Toronto FC, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
DC United, draw no bet33%fair 3.04
Double chance
Toronto FC or draw75%1.24
DC United or draw49%1.97
Toronto FC or DC United (no draw)77%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.58
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.35
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 2.5 goals36%2.38
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.74
BTTS
Both teams to score65%1.57
Not both teams to score35%2.45
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.26
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Toronto FC to score86%fair 1.16
DC United to score74%fair 1.35
Toronto FC clean sheet26%fair 3.86
DC United clean sheet14%fair 7.25
Toronto FC to win to nil24%fair 4.18
DC United to win to nil13%fair 7.87
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.6%
2-19.5%
1-07.1%
2-07%
1-26.5%
2-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Toronto FC / Toronto FC33%
Draw / Toronto FC15.7%
DC United / DC United15.1%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Draw / DC United8.9%
Questions about Toronto FC vs DC United
Who is favourite in Toronto FC vs DC United?
The model gives Toronto FC the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Toronto FC vs DC United?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 64%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs DC United?
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Toronto FC find the net in 86% of simulated matches and DC United in 74%.
When is Toronto FC vs DC United and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 23:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.