MLS
Round 23 Wednesday, 21 October 2026
FT
FC CincinnatiHomeLWWDW
2:1Half-time 1:1
DC UnitedAwayLLLLL611920
FC Cincinnati winDrawDC United win
MLS
Round 23 Wednesday, 21 October 2026
FT
FC CincinnatiHomeLWWDWDC UnitedAwayLLLLL- Kick-off Wed 21 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.96 2.54 : 1.42
- Favourite
- 61% FC Cincinnati
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 71% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for FC Cincinnati vs DC United
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened FC Cincinnati vs DC United yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
61%
Our prediction
FC Cincinnati to win
1.64fair
Double chanceFC Cincinnati or DC United (no draw)
81% chance1.24fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
75% chance1.34fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
71% chance1.42fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
91% chance1.10fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.49fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Cincinnati, full-time FC Cincinnati
41% chance2.43fair
FC Cincinnati v DC United head to head
1FC Cincinnati wins
0Draws
0DC United wins
- 24 Oct 26DC United0:2FC Cincinnati
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: FC Cincinnati scored 2, DC United scored 0.
FC Cincinnati vs DC United prediction
FC Cincinnati vs DC United prediction, who wins and at what price
FC Cincinnati vs DC United prediction for the MLS on Wednesday, 21 October 2026: the model makes FC Cincinnati the clear favourite at 61%, with the draw at 19% and DC United at 20%.
FC Cincinnati are expected to score 2.54 and DC United 1.42, so the total line is 3.96 goals; over 2.5 lands at 75% and BTTS at 71%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is fC Cincinnati to win at 61%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
FC Cincinnati or DC United (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance.
The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
FC Cincinnati average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, DC United 0.6 and 2.6 across 5.
FC Cincinnati vs DC United over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines FC Cincinnati vs DC United reads 91% for over 1.5, 75% for over 2.5 and 56% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 25%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 75%.
Both teams to score is 71%: FC Cincinnati find the net in 92% of simulated matches and DC United in 76%. FC Cincinnati keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and DC United 8%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 8.7%, then 3-1 at 7.4% and 1-1 at 6.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Cincinnati, full-time FC Cincinnati leads at 41%. A goal before the break is rated 83%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for FC Cincinnati vs DC United
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 61% / 19% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
FC Cincinnati to win61%fair 1.64
Draw19%fair 5.18
DC United to win20%fair 5.05
FC Cincinnati, draw no bet76%fair 1.32
DC United, draw no bet25%fair 4.08
Double chance
FC Cincinnati or draw80%fair 1.25
DC United or draw39%fair 2.56
FC Cincinnati or DC United (no draw)81%fair 1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 2.5 goals75%fair 1.34
Over 3.5 goals56%fair 1.79
Over 4.5 goals36%fair 2.75
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 2.5 goals25%fair 3.95
Under 3.5 goals44%fair 2.26
BTTS
Both teams to score71%fair 1.42
Not both teams to score30%fair 3.39
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 first-half goals53%fair 1.88
Second-half goal89%fair 1.13
Team goals
FC Cincinnati to score92%fair 1.09
DC United to score76%fair 1.32
FC Cincinnati clean sheet24%fair 4.13
DC United clean sheet8%fair 12.66
FC Cincinnati to win to nil22%fair 4.50
DC United to win to nil7%fair 13.70
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.7%
3-17.4%
1-16.9%
2-26.2%
2-06.1%
3-25.2%
Half-time / full-time
FC Cincinnati / FC Cincinnati41.2%
Draw / FC Cincinnati16.2%
DC United / DC United11.5%
Draw / Draw8.7%
Draw / DC United6.6%
Questions about FC Cincinnati vs DC United
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
The model gives FC Cincinnati the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 19%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for FC Cincinnati vs DC United?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 75% backs the same picture with less variance.
FC Cincinnati vs DC United both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 71%. FC Cincinnati find the net in 92% of simulated matches and DC United in 76%.
When do FC Cincinnati play DC United?
FC Cincinnati vs DC United starts at 23:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.