MLS
Round 30 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Orlando City SCHomeDWDDL
4:1Half-time 2:1
DC UnitedAwayLLLLL592120
Orlando City SC winDrawDC United win
MLS
Round 30 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Orlando City SCHomeDWDDLDC UnitedAwayLLLLL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.90 2.46 : 1.44
- Favourite
- 59% Orlando City SC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 71% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Orlando City SC vs DC United betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Orlando City SC vs DC United yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
59%
Our prediction
Orlando City SC to win
1.69fair
Double chanceOrlando City SC or draw
80% chance1.26fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
71% chance1.41fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.36fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Orlando City SC, full-time Orlando City SC
40% chance2.53fair
Orlando City SC vs DC United prediction
Our Orlando City SC vs DC United prediction and pick
Orlando City SC are a narrow favourite in the Orlando City SC vs DC United prediction, rated 59% to win this MLS match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. DC United sit at 20% and the draw at 21%.
The goal expectancy is 3.90 in total, split 2.46 to Orlando City SC and 1.44 to DC United. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 74% and both teams to score 71%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is orlando City SC to win at 59%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, orlando City SC or draw covers 80% of outcomes.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Orlando City SC stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; DC United show 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Orlando City SC vs DC United with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 26% and under 3.5 45%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 90% and over 2.5 at 74%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 74%.
Both teams to score is 71%: Orlando City SC find the net in 92% of simulated matches and DC United in 76%. Orlando City SC keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and DC United 9%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Orlando City SC vs DC United: 2-1 (8.8%), 3-1 (7.2%) and 1-1 (7.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Orlando City SC, full-time Orlando City SC is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.
Every market rated for Orlando City SC vs DC United
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 59% / 21% / 20% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Orlando City SC to win59%fair 1.69
Draw21%fair 4.88
DC United to win20%fair 4.90
Orlando City SC, draw no bet74%fair 1.35
DC United, draw no bet26%fair 3.89
Double chance
Orlando City SC or draw80%fair 1.26
DC United or draw41%fair 2.44
Orlando City SC or DC United (no draw)80%fair 1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 3.5 goals55%fair 1.83
Over 4.5 goals35%fair 2.85
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.10
Under 2.5 goals26%fair 3.80
Under 3.5 goals45%fair 2.21
BTTS
Both teams to score71%fair 1.41
Not both teams to score29%fair 3.45
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.21
Over 1.5 first-half goals52%fair 1.91
Second-half goal88%fair 1.13
Team goals
Orlando City SC to score92%fair 1.09
DC United to score76%fair 1.31
Orlando City SC clean sheet24%fair 4.22
DC United clean sheet9%fair 11.76
Orlando City SC to win to nil22%fair 4.59
DC United to win to nil8%fair 12.66
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.8%
3-17.2%
1-17.2%
2-26.4%
2-06.1%
3-25.2%
Half-time / full-time
Orlando City SC / Orlando City SC39.6%
Draw / Orlando City SC16%
DC United / DC United12.4%
Draw / Draw9%
Draw / DC United7%
Questions about Orlando City SC vs DC United
Who is favourite in Orlando City SC vs DC United?
The model gives Orlando City SC the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Orlando City SC vs DC United correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 74%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Orlando City SC vs DC United?
The BTTS yes line is rated 71%. Orlando City SC find the net in 92% of simulated matches and DC United in 76%.
When is Orlando City SC vs DC United and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 23:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.