MLS
Round 32 Thursday, 29 October 2026
FT
Minnesota United FCHomeDDWDW
3:1Half-time 0:1
Sporting Kansas CityAwayLLLLD681715
Minnesota United FC winDrawSporting Kansas City win
MLS
Round 32 Thursday, 29 October 2026
FT
Minnesota United FCHomeDDWDWSporting Kansas CityAwayLLLLD- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.94 2.72 : 1.22
- Favourite
- 68% Minnesota United FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 66% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.43 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.30 | 3.50 | 1.48 | 2.68 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.20 | 1.29 | 3.35 | 1.43 | 2.62 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.43 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.30 | 3.50 | 1.48 | 2.68 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.43 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.30 | 3.50 | 1.48 | 2.68 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.40 | 5.00 | 5.75 | - | - | 1.45 | 2.65 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Minnesota United FC to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City are 1.43 for Minnesota United FC at Melbet, 5.00 for the draw at Melbet and 6.50 for Sporting Kansas City at Melbet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.30 (Melbet) and under 2.5 3.50 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (Melbet) and no 2.68 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
68%
Our prediction
Minnesota United FC to win
Double chanceMinnesota United FC or draw
86% chance1.11
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.30
BTTSBoth teams to score
66% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
90% chance1.11fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.36fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Minnesota United FC, full-time Minnesota United FC
47% chance2.11fair
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction
Our Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction and pick
Minnesota United FC are the clear favourite in the Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction, rated 68% to win this MLS match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Sporting Kansas City sit at 15% and the draw at 17%.
Minnesota United FC are expected to score 2.72 and Sporting Kansas City 1.22, so the total line is 3.94 goals; over 2.5 lands at 74% and BTTS at 66%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is minnesota United FC to win at 68%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.43. That price implies 70%, 2 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, minnesota United FC or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.11.
The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Minnesota United FC stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Sporting Kansas City show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City reads 90% for over 1.5, 74% for over 2.5 and 55% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 26%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 74%; Melbet pay 1.30.
BTTS yes stands at 66%. Minnesota United FC score in 93% of simulations against a 7% clean sheet for Sporting Kansas City; Sporting Kansas City score in 71% while Minnesota United FC shut them out 30% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 66%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City: 2-1 (8.8%), 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Minnesota United FC, full-time Minnesota United FC is the top combination at 47%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.
All markets, Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
The grid built from 2.72 and 1.22 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Minnesota United FC to win68%1.43
Draw17%5.00
Sporting Kansas City to win15%6.50
Minnesota United FC, draw no bet83%fair 1.21
Sporting Kansas City, draw no bet18%fair 5.71
Double chance
Minnesota United FC or draw86%1.11
Sporting Kansas City or draw32%2.83
Minnesota United FC or Sporting Kansas City (no draw)83%1.17
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 2.5 goals74%1.30
Over 3.5 goals55%fair 1.81
Over 4.5 goals36%fair 2.79
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.31
Under 2.5 goals26%3.50
Under 3.5 goals45%fair 2.24
BTTS
Both teams to score66%1.48
Not both teams to score34%2.68
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 first-half goals53%fair 1.89
Second-half goal89%fair 1.13
Team goals
Minnesota United FC to score93%fair 1.07
Sporting Kansas City to score71%fair 1.42
Minnesota United FC clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet7%fair 15.15
Minnesota United FC to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Sporting Kansas City to win to nil6%fair 16.39
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.8%
3-18%
2-07.2%
3-06.5%
1-16.5%
4-15.4%
Half-time / full-time
Minnesota United FC / Minnesota United FC47.3%
Draw / Minnesota United FC17.4%
Sporting Kansas City / Sporting Kansas City8.3%
Draw / Draw8%
Draw / Sporting Kansas City5.1%
Questions about Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
Who is favourite in Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model gives Minnesota United FC the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 17%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City correct score: what does the model say?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 74%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
The BTTS yes line is rated 66%. Minnesota United FC find the net in 93% of simulated matches and Sporting Kansas City in 71%.
When is Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City and where is the result shown?
Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City starts at 00:30 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.