MLS
Round 33 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
Atlanta United FCHomeWLLLW
3:1Half-time 2:0
Toronto FCAwayDWLWL452332
Atlanta United FC winDrawToronto FC win
MLS
Round 33 Sunday, 1 November 2026
FT
Atlanta United FCHomeWLLLWToronto FCAwayDWLWL- Kick-off Sun 1 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.49 1.90 : 1.59
- Favourite
- 45% Atlanta United FC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.95 | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.45 | 2.75 | 1.43 | 2.82 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.93 | 4.10 | 3.20 | 1.43 | 2.68 | 1.39 | 2.76 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.95 | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.45 | 2.75 | 1.43 | 2.82 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.95 | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.45 | 2.75 | 1.43 | 2.82 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.01 | 3.95 | 3.15 | 1.43 | 2.75 | 1.42 | 2.80 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Atlanta United FC to win partner prices
Stake pay the best Atlanta United FC price at 2.01, 22Bet lead the draw at 4.20 and 22Bet have Toronto FC longest at 3.30.
The best-price payout across the three results is 96.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.45 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.75 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.43 (Melbet) and no 2.82 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
77%
Our prediction
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
BTTSBoth teams to score
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.87fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Atlanta United FC, full-time Atlanta United FC
28% chance3.56fairWon
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.26fairWon
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC odds movement
Atlanta United FC win2.01-0.19
Draw4.20unchanged
Toronto FC win3.30unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.45-0.02
Under 2.5 goals2.75-0.13
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC prediction
Our Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC prediction and pick
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC prediction for the MLS on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model makes Atlanta United FC marginally ahead at 45%, with the draw at 23% and Toronto FC at 32%.
The goal expectancy is 3.49 in total, split 1.90 to Atlanta United FC and 1.59 to Toronto FC. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 67% and both teams to score 68%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is atlanta United FC or Toronto FC (no draw) at 77%. At 1.23 with 22Bet the market prices it at 81%, against 77% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC.
Atlanta United FC average 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Toronto FC 2.0 and 2.2 across 5.
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 33% and under 3.5 54%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 86% and over 2.5 at 67%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.45 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 68%, built from Atlanta United FC scoring in 85% of runs and Toronto FC in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Atlanta United FC and 15% for Toronto FC.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 9.2%, then 2-1 at 8.8% and 1-2 at 7.3%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.2% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Atlanta United FC, full-time Atlanta United FC leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC
The grid built from 1.90 and 1.59 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win45%2.01
Draw23%4.20
Toronto FC to win32%3.30
Atlanta United FC, draw no bet58%fair 1.72
Toronto FC, draw no bet42%fair 2.39
Double chance
Atlanta United FC or draw68%1.33
Toronto FC or draw55%1.85
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC (no draw)77%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.45
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.17
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 2.5 goals33%2.75
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.86
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.43
Not both teams to score33%2.82
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.15
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17
Team goals
Atlanta United FC to score85%fair 1.18
Toronto FC to score80%fair 1.26
Atlanta United FC clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Toronto FC clean sheet15%fair 6.67
Atlanta United FC to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Toronto FC to win to nil14%fair 7.25
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.2%
2-18.8%
1-27.3%
2-27%
1-05.8%
3-15.5%
Half-time / full-time
Atlanta United FC / Atlanta United FC28.1%
Toronto FC / Toronto FC19.4%
Draw / Atlanta United FC13.8%
Draw / Draw11.2%
Draw / Toronto FC10.6%
Questions about Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC: which side does the model back?
The model gives Atlanta United FC the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Atlanta United FC find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Toronto FC in 80%.
When do Atlanta United FC play Toronto FC?
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC starts at 21:30 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.