MLS
Round 31 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
Philadelphia UnionHomeWDLDL
1:2Half-time 0:1
New England RevolutionAwayLWWWW641917
Philadelphia Union winDrawNew England Revolution win
MLS
Round 31 Saturday, 24 October 2026
FT
Philadelphia UnionHomeWDLDLNew England RevolutionAwayLWWWW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.58 2.41 : 1.17
- Favourite
- 64% Philadelphia Union
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 63% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
64%
Our prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
1.56fair
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw
83% chance1.20fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
63% chance1.58fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Philadelphia Union, full-time Philadelphia Union
43% chance2.31fair
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution prediction
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution prediction, who wins and at what price
Philadelphia Union are the clear favourite in the Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution prediction, rated 64% to win this MLS match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. New England Revolution sit at 17% and the draw at 19%.
Philadelphia Union are expected to score 2.41 and New England Revolution 1.17, so the total line is 3.58 goals; over 2.5 lands at 69% and BTTS at 63%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is philadelphia Union to win at 64%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Philadelphia Union or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance.
The draw sits at only 19%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Philadelphia Union average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, New England Revolution 1.8 and 1.6 across 5.
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution reads 87% for over 1.5, 69% for over 2.5 and 48% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 31%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 63%, built from Philadelphia Union scoring in 91% of runs and New England Revolution in 69%; clean sheets come at 31% for Philadelphia Union and 9% for New England Revolution.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 63%.
Correct score: 2-1 leads at 9.5%, then 2-0 at 8.1% and 1-1 at 7.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Philadelphia Union, full-time Philadelphia Union leads at 43%. A goal before the break is rated 80%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution
The grid built from 2.41 and 1.17 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win64%fair 1.56
Draw19%fair 5.26
New England Revolution to win17%fair 5.95
Philadelphia Union, draw no bet79%fair 1.26
New England Revolution, draw no bet21%fair 4.83
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw83%fair 1.20
New England Revolution or draw36%fair 2.79
Philadelphia Union or New England Revolution (no draw)81%fair 1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 3.5 goals48%fair 2.08
Over 4.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 2.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 3.5 goals52%fair 1.92
BTTS
Both teams to score63%fair 1.58
Not both teams to score37%fair 2.73
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals48%fair 2.09
Second-half goal86%fair 1.16
Team goals
Philadelphia Union to score91%fair 1.10
New England Revolution to score69%fair 1.45
Philadelphia Union clean sheet31%fair 3.23
New England Revolution clean sheet9%fair 11.11
Philadelphia Union to win to nil29%fair 3.50
New England Revolution to win to nil8%fair 12.05
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.5%
2-08.1%
1-17.9%
3-17.6%
1-06.7%
3-06.5%
Half-time / full-time
Philadelphia Union / Philadelphia Union43.2%
Draw / Philadelphia Union17.6%
New England Revolution / New England Revolution9.5%
Draw / Draw9.5%
Draw / New England Revolution6%
Questions about Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution
Who is favourite in Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
The model gives Philadelphia Union the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 19%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 69%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 63%. Philadelphia Union find the net in 91% of simulated matches and New England Revolution in 69%.
When do Philadelphia Union play New England Revolution?
Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution starts at 23:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.