MLS
Round 30 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
New England RevolutionHomeLWWWW
1:0Half-time 1:0
Chicago FireAwayLLWDW402535
New England Revolution winDrawChicago Fire win
MLS
Round 30 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
New England RevolutionHomeLWWWWChicago FireAwayLLWDW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.36 1.73 : 1.63
- Favourite
- 40% New England Revolution
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 69% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
75%
Our prediction
New England Revolution or Chicago Fire (no draw)
1.34fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.55fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
69% chance1.46fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time New England Revolution, full-time New England Revolution
25% chance4.03fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair
New England Revolution v Chicago Fire head to head
1New England Revolution wins
0Draws
0Chicago Fire wins
- 13 Sep 26Chicago Fire1:2New England Revolution
1 meeting since coverage began, 3 goals in total: New England Revolution scored 2, Chicago Fire scored 1.
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire prediction
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire prediction and best bet
New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire prediction for the MLS on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model calls it close, New England Revolution 40%, draw 25%, Chicago Fire 35%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 3.36 in total, split 1.73 to New England Revolution and 1.63 to Chicago Fire. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 69%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is new England Revolution or Chicago Fire (no draw) at 75%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Over the last 5 matches New England Revolution stand at 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Chicago Fire show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 43%; under 2.5 is 35% and under 3.5 is 57%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Both teams to score is 69%: New England Revolution find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Chicago Fire in 80%. New England Revolution keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Chicago Fire 18%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 69%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire: 1-1 (9.8%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8%).
With the top scoreline at 9.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time New England Revolution, full-time New England Revolution leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 40% / 25% / 35% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
New England Revolution to win40%fair 2.53
Draw25%fair 3.97
Chicago Fire to win35%fair 2.83
New England Revolution, draw no bet53%fair 1.89
Chicago Fire, draw no bet47%fair 2.12
Double chance
New England Revolution or draw65%fair 1.55
Chicago Fire or draw61%fair 1.65
New England Revolution or Chicago Fire (no draw)75%fair 1.34
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%fair 1.55
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.31
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 4.03
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.62
Under 2.5 goals35%fair 2.82
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.76
BTTS
Both teams to score69%fair 1.46
Not both teams to score32%fair 3.17
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.24
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
New England Revolution to score82%fair 1.22
Chicago Fire to score80%fair 1.24
New England Revolution clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Chicago Fire clean sheet18%fair 5.65
New England Revolution to win to nil18%fair 5.56
Chicago Fire to win to nil16%fair 6.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.8%
2-18.5%
1-28%
2-26.9%
1-06%
0-15.7%
Half-time / full-time
New England Revolution / New England Revolution24.8%
Chicago Fire / Chicago Fire21.9%
Draw / New England Revolution12.9%
Draw / Draw11.8%
Draw / Chicago Fire11.8%
Questions about New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire
Who is favourite in New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
The model gives New England Revolution the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 65%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
The BTTS yes line is rated 69%. New England Revolution find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Chicago Fire in 80%.
What time does New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire kick off?
Kick-off is 23:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.