MLS
Round 30 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Philadelphia UnionHomeWDLDL
2:2Half-time 1:0
CharlotteAwayLDLWW691714
Philadelphia Union winDrawCharlotte win
MLS
Round 30 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
Philadelphia UnionHomeWDLDLCharlotteAwayLDLWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.96 2.74 : 1.22
- Favourite
- 69% Philadelphia Union
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 67% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
69%
Our prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
1.45fair
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw
86% chance1.17fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
67% chance1.49fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
91% chance1.10fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.49fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Philadelphia Union, full-time Philadelphia Union
48% chance2.10fair
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte prediction
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte prediction, who wins and at what price
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte prediction for the MLS on Saturday, 17 October 2026: the model makes Philadelphia Union the clear favourite at 69%, with the draw at 17% and Charlotte at 14%.
Philadelphia Union are expected to score 2.74 and Charlotte 1.22, so the total line is 3.96 goals; over 2.5 lands at 74% and BTTS at 67%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Philadelphia Union to win is the main selection, rated 69%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Philadelphia Union or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 86% chance.
With the draw down at 17%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Philadelphia Union average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 5, Charlotte 2.6 and 1.6 across 5.
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte reads 91% for over 1.5, 74% for over 2.5 and 56% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 26%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 74%.
BTTS yes stands at 67%. Philadelphia Union score in 94% of simulations against a 7% clean sheet for Charlotte; Charlotte score in 71% while Philadelphia Union shut them out 30% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 8.7%, followed by 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.2%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Philadelphia Union, full-time Philadelphia Union is the top combination at 48%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.
All markets, Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 69% / 17% / 14% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win69%fair 1.45
Draw17%fair 5.95
Charlotte to win14%fair 6.94
Philadelphia Union, draw no bet83%fair 1.21
Charlotte, draw no bet17%fair 5.78
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw86%fair 1.17
Charlotte or draw31%fair 3.21
Philadelphia Union or Charlotte (no draw)83%fair 1.20
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 2.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 3.5 goals56%fair 1.79
Over 4.5 goals36%fair 2.75
Under 1.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 2.5 goals26%fair 3.88
Under 3.5 goals44%fair 2.26
BTTS
Both teams to score67%fair 1.49
Not both teams to score33%fair 3.02
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 first-half goals53%fair 1.88
Second-half goal89%fair 1.13
Team goals
Philadelphia Union to score94%fair 1.07
Charlotte to score71%fair 1.42
Philadelphia Union clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Charlotte clean sheet7%fair 15.38
Philadelphia Union to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Charlotte to win to nil6%fair 16.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.7%
3-18%
2-07.2%
3-06.5%
1-16.4%
4-15.5%
Half-time / full-time
Philadelphia Union / Philadelphia Union47.6%
Draw / Philadelphia Union17.4%
Charlotte / Charlotte8.2%
Draw / Draw7.9%
Draw / Charlotte5%
Questions about Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
The model gives Philadelphia Union the best chance at 69%, with the draw at 17%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 74% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte?
The BTTS yes line is rated 67%. Philadelphia Union find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Charlotte in 71%.
When do Philadelphia Union play Charlotte?
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte starts at 18:30 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.