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MLS Round 31 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Atlanta United FCHomeWLLLW
2:3Half-time 1:1
Chicago FireAwayLLWDW
352540
Atlanta United FC winDrawChicago Fire win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.38
1.64 : 1.74
Favourite
40%
Chicago Fire
Over 2.5 goals
65%
model chance
Both teams to score
68%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

75%

Our prediction

Atlanta United FC or Chicago Fire (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.64 : 1.74
1.33fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.53fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.48fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Chicago Fire, full-time Chicago Fire
25% chance4.03fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.28fair

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire prediction

Our Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 35% home, 25% draw and 40% away in the MLS. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 3.38 in total, split 1.64 to Atlanta United FC and 1.74 to Chicago Fire. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 68%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire is atlanta United FC or Chicago Fire (no draw), a 75% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Atlanta United FC average 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Chicago Fire 2.0 and 2.0 across 5.

Goals forecast for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 56%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 65%.

BTTS yes stands at 68%. Atlanta United FC score in 81% of simulations against a 19% clean sheet for Chicago Fire; Chicago Fire score in 82% while Atlanta United FC shut them out 18% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: 1-1 (9.7%), 1-2 (8.5%) and 2-1 (8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Chicago Fire, full-time Chicago Fire leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Atlanta United FC to win35%fair 2.82
Draw25%fair 4.05
Chicago Fire to win40%fair 2.51
Atlanta United FC, draw no bet47%fair 2.13
Chicago Fire, draw no bet53%fair 1.89

Double chance

Atlanta United FC or draw60%fair 1.66
Chicago Fire or draw65%fair 1.55
Atlanta United FC or Chicago Fire (no draw)75%fair 1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%fair 1.53
Over 3.5 goals44%fair 2.29
Over 4.5 goals25%fair 3.97
Under 1.5 goals15%fair 6.71
Under 2.5 goals35%fair 2.89
Under 3.5 goals56%fair 1.78

BTTS

Both teams to score68%fair 1.48
Not both teams to score33%fair 3.08

Halves

First-half goal78%fair 1.28
Over 1.5 first-half goals45%fair 2.23
Second-half goal84%fair 1.18

Team goals

Atlanta United FC to score81%fair 1.24
Chicago Fire to score82%fair 1.21
Atlanta United FC clean sheet18%fair 5.68
Chicago Fire clean sheet19%fair 5.15
Atlanta United FC to win to nil16%fair 6.21
Chicago Fire to win to nil18%fair 5.62

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-19.7%
1-28.5%
2-18%
2-26.9%
0-15.9%
1-05.6%

Half-time / full-time

Chicago Fire / Chicago Fire24.8%
Atlanta United FC / Atlanta United FC22%
Draw / Chicago Fire12.9%
Draw / Atlanta United FC11.8%
Draw / Draw11.7%

Questions about Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

The model gives Chicago Fire the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 65% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Atlanta United FC find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Chicago Fire in 82%.

When do Atlanta United FC play Chicago Fire?

Kick-off is 23:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Atlanta United FC v Chicago FireAtlanta United FC or Chicago Fire (no draw), 75%
1.33fair