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Live 11 UTC
Uruguay Primera División Clausura - 11 Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
Racing MontevideoHomeLLWDW
3:0Half-time 0:0
WanderersAwayDLLLD
452926
Racing Montevideo winDrawWanderers win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.39
1.39 : 1.00
Favourite
45%
Racing Montevideo
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.993.143.502.111.621.871.82Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Racing Montevideo to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers are 1.99 for Racing Montevideo at 1xBet, 3.14 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.50 for Wanderers at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.62 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (1xBet) and no 1.82 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

74%

Our prediction

Racing Montevideo or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.39 : 1.00-10% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Racing Montevideo, full-time Racing Montevideo
27% chance3.66fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.52fair

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers prediction

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers prediction, who wins and at what price

Racing Montevideo host Wanderers on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Uruguay Primera División, and the model has Racing Montevideo at 45%, the draw at 29% and Wanderers at 26%: that is the Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.39 in total, split 1.39 to Racing Montevideo and 1.00 to Wanderers. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 49%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers is racing Montevideo or draw, a 74% chance. At 1.22 with 1xBet the market prices it at 82%, against 74% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Over the last 5 matches Racing Montevideo stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Wanderers show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers

Under 2.5 goals is rated 58% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 69% and over 2.5 at 42%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.62 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 49%. Racing Montevideo score in 75% of simulations against a 25% clean sheet for Wanderers; Wanderers score in 63% while Racing Montevideo shut them out 37% of the time.

Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.7%, then 1-1 at 12.7% and 0-0 at 9.2%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Racing Montevideo, full-time Racing Montevideo is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.

Every market for Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 45% / 29% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Racing Montevideo to win45%1.99
Draw29%3.14
Wanderers to win26%3.50
Racing Montevideo, draw no bet63%fair 1.58
Wanderers, draw no bet37%fair 2.73

Double chance

Racing Montevideo or draw74%1.22
Wanderers or draw55%1.66
Racing Montevideo or Wanderers (no draw)72%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.11
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 2.5 goals58%1.62
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28

BTTS

Both teams to score49%1.87
Not both teams to score52%1.82

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.42
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37

Team goals

Racing Montevideo to score75%fair 1.33
Wanderers to score63%fair 1.58
Racing Montevideo clean sheet37%fair 2.72
Wanderers clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Racing Montevideo to win to nil34%fair 2.96
Wanderers to win to nil23%fair 4.37

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-012.7%
1-112.7%
0-09.2%
0-19.2%
2-08.9%
2-18.9%

Half-time / full-time

Racing Montevideo / Racing Montevideo27.3%
Draw / Draw17.5%
Draw / Racing Montevideo16.4%
Wanderers / Wanderers15.1%
Draw / Wanderers10.5%

Questions about Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers

Who will win Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?

The model gives Racing Montevideo the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?

1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Racing Montevideo find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Wanderers in 63%.

When do Racing Montevideo play Wanderers?

Racing Montevideo vs Wanderers starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Racing Montevideo v WanderersRacing Montevideo or draw, 74%
1.22Bet