Uruguay Primera División
DanubioHomeWWLWL
1:0Half-time 1:0
Central EspanolAwayLLLLW492724
Danubio winDrawCentral Espanol win
DanubioHomeWWLWLCentral EspanolAwayLLLLW- Kick-off Sun 18 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.43 1.47 : 0.96
- Favourite
- 49% Danubio
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 49% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Danubio vs Central Espanol betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.16 | 3.64 | 2.12 | 1.62 | 1.89 | 1.80 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Danubio to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Danubio vs Central Espanol prediction: Danubio 1.94 (1xBet), draw 3.16 (1xBet), Central Espanol 3.64 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.12 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.62 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.89 (1xBet) and no 1.80 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
76%
Our prediction
Danubio or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Danubio, full-time Danubio
30% chance3.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Danubio v Central Espanol head to head
1Danubio wins
0Draws
0Central Espanol wins
- 15 Oct 26Central Espanol0:6Danubio
1 meeting since coverage began, 6 goals in total: Danubio scored 6, Central Espanol scored 0.
Danubio vs Central Espanol prediction
Danubio vs Central Espanol prediction and best bet
Danubio vs Central Espanol prediction for the Uruguay Primera División on Sunday, 18 October 2026: the model makes Danubio a narrow favourite at 49%, with the draw at 27% and Central Espanol at 24%.
The goal expectancy is 2.43 in total, split 1.47 to Danubio and 0.96 to Central Espanol. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 49%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Danubio vs Central Espanol is danubio or draw, a 76% chance. At 1.20 with 1xBet the market prices it at 83%, against 76% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Danubio vs Central Espanol.
Danubio average 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Central Espanol 0.6 and 2.4 across 5.
A low-scoring Danubio vs Central Espanol? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Danubio vs Central Espanol reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.62.
The chance of both teams scoring is 49%, built from Danubio scoring in 77% of runs and Central Espanol in 62%; clean sheets come at 38% for Danubio and 23% for Central Espanol.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 12.9%, then 1-1 at 12.4% and 2-0 at 9.5%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Danubio, full-time Danubio is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
All markets, Danubio vs Central Espanol
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Danubio vs Central Espanol, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Danubio to win49%1.94
Draw27%3.16
Central Espanol to win24%3.64
Danubio, draw no bet67%fair 1.50
Central Espanol, draw no bet33%fair 3.01
Double chance
Danubio or draw76%1.20
Central Espanol or draw51%1.69
Danubio or Central Espanol (no draw)73%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.12
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 2.5 goals56%1.62
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score49%1.89
Not both teams to score52%1.80
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.34
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Danubio to score77%fair 1.30
Central Espanol to score62%fair 1.62
Danubio clean sheet38%fair 2.61
Central Espanol clean sheet23%fair 4.35
Danubio to win to nil35%fair 2.84
Central Espanol to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-012.9%
1-112.4%
2-09.5%
2-19.1%
0-08.8%
0-18.5%
Half-time / full-time
Danubio / Danubio29.5%
Draw / Danubio17.1%
Draw / Draw17%
Central Espanol / Central Espanol13.6%
Draw / Central Espanol9.7%
Questions about Danubio vs Central Espanol
Who is favourite in Danubio vs Central Espanol?
The model gives Danubio the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Danubio vs Central Espanol?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Danubio vs Central Espanol?
The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Danubio find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Central Espanol in 62%.
When is Danubio vs Central Espanol and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.