Copa Uruguay
PenarolHomeDLDLD
0:2Half-time 0:0
Atletico TorqueAwayLWWWW492823
Penarol winDrawAtletico Torque win
PenarolHomeDLDLDAtletico TorqueAwayLWWWW- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.64 1.59 : 1.05
- Favourite
- 49% Penarol
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Penarol vs Atletico Torque odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.18 | 3.52 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.73 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Penarol to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Penarol price at 1.97, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.18 and 1xBet have Atletico Torque longest at 3.52.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
76%
Our prediction
Penarol or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.79
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Penarol, full-time Penarol
31% chance3.28fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.44fair
Penarol v Atletico Torque head to head
0Penarol wins
1Draw
0Atletico Torque wins
- 30 Sep 26Atletico Torque1:1Penarol
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Penarol scored 1, Atletico Torque scored 1.
Penarol vs Atletico Torque prediction
Penarol vs Atletico Torque prediction, who wins and at what price
The Penarol vs Atletico Torque prediction leans to Penarol: 49% against 24% for Atletico Torque, with 28% left for the draw, in the Copa Uruguay on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.59 for Penarol and 1.05 for Atletico Torque, a total of 2.64, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 53%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Penarol vs Atletico Torque is penarol or draw, a 76% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.22. That price implies 82%, 6 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Penarol vs Atletico Torque.
Form check: Penarol have won 0 of their last 5 with 2 scored and 5 conceded, Atletico Torque 4 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 4.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Penarol vs Atletico Torque
Under 2.5 goals is rated 51% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 49%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.79.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Penarol score in 80% of simulations against a 20% clean sheet for Atletico Torque; Atletico Torque score in 65% while Penarol shut them out 35% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Penarol vs Atletico Torque: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
With the top scoreline at 11.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Penarol vs Atletico Torque; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Penarol, full-time Penarol leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Penarol vs Atletico Torque
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Penarol vs Atletico Torque, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Penarol to win49%1.97
Draw28%3.18
Atletico Torque to win24%3.52
Penarol, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Atletico Torque, draw no bet33%fair 3.06
Double chance
Penarol or draw76%1.22
Atletico Torque or draw52%1.67
Penarol or Atletico Torque (no draw)72%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.88
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%1.79
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.73
Not both teams to score47%1.98
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31
Team goals
Penarol to score80%fair 1.26
Atletico Torque to score65%fair 1.54
Penarol clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Atletico Torque clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Penarol to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Atletico Torque to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-011.3%
2-19.5%
2-09%
0-17.5%
0-07.1%
Half-time / full-time
Penarol / Penarol30.5%
Draw / Penarol16.8%
Draw / Draw15.3%
Atletico Torque / Atletico Torque14%
Draw / Atletico Torque9.5%
Questions about Penarol vs Atletico Torque
Who is favourite in Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
The model gives Penarol the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Penarol find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Atletico Torque in 65%.
When is Penarol vs Atletico Torque and where is the result shown?
Penarol vs Atletico Torque starts at 22:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.