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Live 19 UTC
Premiership Round 11 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
ST MirrenHomeLLWDL
1:1Half-time 0:0
HibernianAwayLLLDW
312742
ST Mirren winDrawHibernian win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
2.75
1.25 : 1.50
Favourite
42%
Hibernian
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

ST Mirren vs Hibernian betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet3.363.322.191.911.891.772.03Bet
BC.Game3.353.352.081.861.861.731.98Bet
Betwinner3.363.322.191.911.891.772.03Bet
Melbet3.543.342.121.911.891.772.03Bet
Stake3.303.452.141.831.911.702.04Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Hibernian to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for ST Mirren vs Hibernian are 3.54 for ST Mirren at Melbet, 3.45 for the draw at Stake and 2.19 for Hibernian at 22Bet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.91 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.91 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.77 (Melbet) and no 2.04 (Stake).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

73%

Our prediction

ST Mirren or Hibernian (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.25 : 1.50-2.8% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.91
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hibernian, full-time Hibernian
26% chance3.88fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair

ST Mirren vs Hibernian prediction

ST Mirren vs Hibernian prediction, who wins and at what price

The ST Mirren vs Hibernian prediction leans to Hibernian: 42% against 31% for ST Mirren, with 27% left for the draw, in the Premiership on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.

ST Mirren are expected to score 1.25 and Hibernian 1.50, so the total line is 2.75 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 57%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for ST Mirren vs Hibernian is sT Mirren or Hibernian (no draw), a 73% chance. At 1.33 with 22Bet the market prices it at 75%, against 73% from the model.

Form check: ST Mirren have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 11 conceded, Hibernian 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 7.

ST Mirren vs Hibernian goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines ST Mirren vs Hibernian reads 76% for over 1.5, 52% for over 2.5 and 30% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.91 at Betwinner.

The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from ST Mirren scoring in 71% of runs and Hibernian in 78%; clean sheets come at 22% for ST Mirren and 29% for Hibernian.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for ST Mirren vs Hibernian: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (9.6%) and 1-2 (9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Hibernian, full-time Hibernian is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

Every market for ST Mirren vs Hibernian

The grid built from 1.25 and 1.50 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

ST Mirren to win31%3.54
Draw27%3.45
Hibernian to win42%2.19
ST Mirren, draw no bet42%fair 2.36
Hibernian, draw no bet58%fair 1.73

Double chance

ST Mirren or draw58%1.72
Hibernian or draw69%1.32
ST Mirren or Hibernian (no draw)73%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.37
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Under 2.5 goals48%1.91
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.42

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.77
Not both teams to score44%2.04

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.85
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

ST Mirren to score71%fair 1.40
Hibernian to score78%fair 1.29
ST Mirren clean sheet22%fair 4.48
Hibernian clean sheet29%fair 3.48
ST Mirren to win to nil21%fair 4.88
Hibernian to win to nil26%fair 3.79

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112%
0-19.6%
1-29%
1-08%
2-17.5%
0-27.2%

Half-time / full-time

Hibernian / Hibernian25.8%
ST Mirren / ST Mirren18.2%
Draw / Draw15%
Draw / Hibernian14.7%
Draw / ST Mirren11.4%

Questions about ST Mirren vs Hibernian

ST Mirren or Hibernian: which side does the model back?

The model gives Hibernian the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. ST Mirren find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Hibernian in 78%.

When is ST Mirren vs Hibernian and where is the result shown?

ST Mirren vs Hibernian starts at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, ST Mirren v HibernianST Mirren or Hibernian (no draw), 73%
1.33Bet