Premiership
Round 12 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
MotherwellHomeLLLDW
1:0Half-time 0:0
ST MirrenAwayLLWDL512425
Motherwell winDrawST Mirren win
Premiership
Round 12 Saturday, 31 October 2026
FT
MotherwellHomeLLLDWST MirrenAwayLLWDL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.06 1.82 : 1.24
- Favourite
- 51% Motherwell
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Motherwell vs ST Mirren
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.86 | 3.92 | 1.53 | 2.21 | 1.54 | 2.32 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.80 | 3.82 | 3.96 | 1.58 | 2.12 | 1.58 | 2.23 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.79 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.60 | 2.22 | 1.56 | 2.28 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.82 | 3.92 | 4.02 | 1.66 | 2.20 | 1.64 | 2.23 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.82 | 3.92 | 4.02 | 1.66 | 2.20 | 1.64 | 2.23 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 1.58 | 2.30 | 1.57 | 2.26 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Motherwell to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Motherwell price at 1.82, Melbet lead the draw at 3.92 and Melbet have ST Mirren longest at 4.02.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.66 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.30 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (Melbet) and no 2.32 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
51%
Our prediction
Motherwell to win
Double chanceMotherwell or ST Mirren (no draw)
76% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.66
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Motherwell, full-time Motherwell
32% chance3.14fair
Motherwell vs ST Mirren prediction
Our Motherwell vs ST Mirren prediction and pick
Motherwell are a narrow favourite in the Motherwell vs ST Mirren prediction, rated 51% to win this Premiership match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. ST Mirren sit at 25% and the draw at 24%.
Motherwell are expected to score 1.82 and ST Mirren 1.24, so the total line is 3.06 goals; over 2.5 lands at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is motherwell to win at 51%. At 1.82 with Melbet the market prices it at 55%, against 51% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, motherwell or ST Mirren (no draw) covers 76% of outcomes at 1.25.
Form check: Motherwell have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 9 conceded, ST Mirren 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 11.
How many goals in Motherwell vs ST Mirren? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 41% and under 3.5 63%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 59%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; Melbet pay 1.66.
Both teams to score is 61%: Motherwell find the net in 84% of simulated matches and ST Mirren in 71%. Motherwell keep a clean sheet 29% of the time and ST Mirren 16%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Motherwell vs ST Mirren: 1-1 (10.6%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.5%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Motherwell, full-time Motherwell leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Motherwell vs ST Mirren
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Motherwell vs ST Mirren, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Motherwell to win51%1.82
Draw24%3.92
ST Mirren to win25%4.02
Motherwell, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
ST Mirren, draw no bet33%fair 3.03
Double chance
Motherwell or draw75%1.24
ST Mirren or draw49%1.98
Motherwell or ST Mirren (no draw)76%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.66
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.73
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.13
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.26
Under 2.5 goals41%2.30
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.64
Not both teams to score40%2.32
Halves
First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.50
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23
Team goals
Motherwell to score84%fair 1.19
ST Mirren to score71%fair 1.41
Motherwell clean sheet29%fair 3.46
ST Mirren clean sheet16%fair 6.17
Motherwell to win to nil27%fair 3.76
ST Mirren to win to nil15%fair 6.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.6%
2-19.6%
1-08.5%
2-07.8%
1-26.6%
2-26%
Half-time / full-time
Motherwell / Motherwell31.8%
Draw / Motherwell16.1%
ST Mirren / ST Mirren14.9%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Draw / ST Mirren9.3%
Questions about Motherwell vs ST Mirren
Motherwell or ST Mirren: which side does the model back?
The model gives Motherwell the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Motherwell find the net in 84% of simulated matches and ST Mirren in 71%.
When is Motherwell vs ST Mirren and where is the result shown?
Motherwell vs ST Mirren starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.