Premiership
Round 11 Wednesday, 28 October 2026
FT
AberdeenHomeLWLLL
0:1Half-time 0:0
FalkirkAwayLWWWW472726
Aberdeen winDrawFalkirk win
Premiership
Round 11 Wednesday, 28 October 2026
FT
AberdeenHomeLWLLLFalkirkAwayLWWWW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.72 1.60 : 1.12
- Favourite
- 47% Aberdeen
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Aberdeen vs Falkirk betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 1.93 | 3.56 | 3.96 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.14 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.84 | 3.55 | 4.00 | 1.77 | 1.96 | 1.70 | 2.02 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.93 | 3.56 | 3.96 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.93 | 3.56 | 3.96 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.73 | 2.09 | Bet |
 Stake | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.78 | 1.97 | 1.70 | 2.03 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Aberdeen to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Aberdeen vs Falkirk prediction: Aberdeen 1.93 (Melbet), draw 3.60 (Stake), Falkirk 4.00 (BC.Game).
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.83 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.98 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (Melbet) and no 2.14 (22Bet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
Aberdeen or draw
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.73
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aberdeen, full-time Aberdeen
30% chance3.38fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair
Aberdeen vs Falkirk prediction
Our Aberdeen vs Falkirk prediction and pick
Aberdeen are marginally ahead in the Aberdeen vs Falkirk prediction, rated 47% to win this Premiership match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Falkirk sit at 26% and the draw at 27%.
Expected goals are 1.60 for Aberdeen and 1.12 for Falkirk, a total of 2.72, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Aberdeen or draw is the main selection, rated 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at Melbet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Aberdeen have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 7 conceded, Falkirk 4 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 3.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 51%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Melbet pay 1.83.
The chance of both teams scoring is 55%, built from Aberdeen scoring in 80% of runs and Falkirk in 67%; clean sheets come at 33% for Aberdeen and 20% for Falkirk.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.8%, then 1-0 at 10.5% and 2-1 at 9.4%.
With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Aberdeen vs Falkirk; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Aberdeen, full-time Aberdeen leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Aberdeen vs Falkirk
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 47% / 27% / 26% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Aberdeen to win47%1.93
Draw27%3.60
Falkirk to win26%4.00
Aberdeen, draw no bet65%fair 1.54
Falkirk, draw no bet35%fair 2.85
Double chance
Aberdeen or draw74%1.25
Falkirk or draw53%1.88
Aberdeen or Falkirk (no draw)73%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.83
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 2.5 goals49%1.98
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.73
Not both teams to score45%2.14
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.89
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Aberdeen to score80%fair 1.25
Falkirk to score67%fair 1.48
Aberdeen clean sheet33%fair 3.07
Falkirk clean sheet20%fair 4.95
Aberdeen to win to nil30%fair 3.33
Falkirk to win to nil19%fair 5.38
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
1-010.5%
2-19.4%
2-08.4%
0-17.4%
1-26.6%
Half-time / full-time
Aberdeen / Aberdeen29.6%
Draw / Aberdeen16.3%
Falkirk / Falkirk15.1%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Draw / Falkirk9.9%
Questions about Aberdeen vs Falkirk
Aberdeen or Falkirk: which side does the model back?
The model gives Aberdeen the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Aberdeen vs Falkirk correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Aberdeen find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Falkirk in 67%.
When do Aberdeen play Falkirk?
Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.