Premiership
Round 11 Wednesday, 28 October 2026
FT
ST JohnstoneHomeWDLDD
2:2Half-time 1:1
MotherwellAwayLLLDW392833
ST Johnstone winDrawMotherwell win
Premiership
Round 11 Wednesday, 28 October 2026
FT
ST JohnstoneHomeWDLDDMotherwellAwayLLLDW- Kick-off Wed 28 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.79 1.45 : 1.34
- Favourite
- 39% ST Johnstone
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.43 | 3.64 | 2.73 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.14 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.42 | 3.35 | 2.72 | 1.71 | 2.04 | 1.59 | 2.22 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.43 | 3.64 | 2.73 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.64 | 2.23 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.43 | 3.64 | 2.73 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.70 | 2.14 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.48 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.78 | 1.97 | 1.65 | 2.11 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
ST Johnstone to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell are 2.48 for ST Johnstone at Stake, 3.64 for the draw at Melbet and 2.73 for Motherwell at Melbet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.8%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.83 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.04 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.70 (Melbet) and no 2.23 (Betwinner).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
ST Johnstone or Motherwell (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ST Johnstone, full-time ST Johnstone
24% chance4.22fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.40fair
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction and best bet
The ST Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Premiership on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 gives ST Johnstone a 39% chance, Motherwell 33% and the draw 28%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
ST Johnstone are expected to score 1.45 and Motherwell 1.34, so the total line is 2.79 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is sT Johnstone or Motherwell (no draw) at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at Stake, which implies 78%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on ST Johnstone vs Motherwell.
Over the last 5 matches ST Johnstone stand at 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Motherwell show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
How many goals in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines ST Johnstone vs Motherwell reads 77% for over 1.5, 53% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; Melbet pay 1.83.
BTTS yes stands at 58%. ST Johnstone score in 77% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Motherwell; Motherwell score in 74% while ST Johnstone shut them out 26% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time ST Johnstone, full-time ST Johnstone leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, ST Johnstone vs Motherwell
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
ST Johnstone to win39%2.48
Draw28%3.64
Motherwell to win33%2.73
ST Johnstone, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
Motherwell, draw no bet46%fair 2.16
Double chance
ST Johnstone or draw67%1.46
Motherwell or draw61%1.56
ST Johnstone or Motherwell (no draw)72%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.83
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.62
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.29
Under 2.5 goals48%2.04
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.44
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.70
Not both teams to score42%2.23
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.80
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
ST Johnstone to score77%fair 1.31
Motherwell to score74%fair 1.36
ST Johnstone clean sheet26%fair 3.82
Motherwell clean sheet24%fair 4.26
ST Johnstone to win to nil24%fair 4.15
Motherwell to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
1-08.9%
2-18.7%
0-18.2%
1-28%
2-06.5%
Half-time / full-time
ST Johnstone / ST Johnstone23.7%
Motherwell / Motherwell20.4%
Draw / Draw14.8%
Draw / ST Johnstone13.7%
Draw / Motherwell12.3%
Questions about ST Johnstone vs Motherwell
ST Johnstone or Motherwell: which side does the model back?
The model gives ST Johnstone the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 53% backs the same picture with less variance.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. ST Johnstone find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Motherwell in 74%.
When do ST Johnstone play Motherwell?
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell starts at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.