ST Mirren vs Dundee prediction

ST Mirren vs Dundee prediction and best bet

Nothing separates the sides in the ST Mirren vs Dundee prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 40% home, 26% draw and 34% away in the Premiership. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

The goal expectancy is 2.95 in total, split 1.54 to ST Mirren and 1.41 to Dundee. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 60%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is sT Mirren or Dundee (no draw) at 74%. At 1.27 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on ST Mirren vs Dundee.

ST Mirren average 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Dundee 2.0 and 1.4 across 5.

ST Mirren vs Dundee goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 79%, over 2.5 at 56%, over 3.5 at 34%; under 2.5 is 44% and under 3.5 is 66%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.61 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from ST Mirren scoring in 79% of runs and Dundee in 76%; clean sheets come at 24% for ST Mirren and 21% for Dundee.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.4%, then 2-1 at 8.8% and 1-0 at 8.1%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time ST Mirren, full-time ST Mirren is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.