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Live 1 UTC
Premiership Round 11 Wednesday, 28 October 2026 FT
DundeeHomeWWDLW
3:1Half-time 1:0
KilmarnockAwayLWLLD
522424
Dundee winDrawKilmarnock win
Kick-off
Wed 28 Oct
Expected goals
3.07
1.85 : 1.22
Favourite
52%
Dundee
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Dundee vs Kilmarnock odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet1.973.523.821.752.081.642.23Bet
BC.Game1.933.653.501.682.101.602.20Bet
Betwinner1.973.523.821.752.081.642.23Bet
Melbet1.973.523.821.752.081.642.23Bet
Stake1.933.753.601.652.151.612.19Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Dundee to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Dundee vs Kilmarnock are 1.97 for Dundee at Betwinner, 3.75 for the draw at Stake and 3.82 for Kilmarnock at Betwinner.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.75 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.15 (Stake); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (Melbet) and no 2.23 (Melbet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

52%

Our prediction

Dundee to win
LeanExpected goals 1.85 : 1.22+1.8% against the best price
Double chanceDundee or Kilmarnock (no draw)
76% chance1.30
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.52fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Dundee, full-time Dundee
33% chance3.06fair

Dundee vs Kilmarnock prediction

Dundee vs Kilmarnock prediction, who wins and at what price

Dundee are a narrow favourite in the Dundee vs Kilmarnock prediction, rated 52% to win this Premiership match on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Kilmarnock sit at 24% and the draw at 24%.

The goal expectancy is 3.07 in total, split 1.85 to Dundee and 1.22 to Kilmarnock. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 59% and both teams to score 59%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Dundee to win is the main selection, rated 52%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.97. That price implies 51%, 1 points under the model figure.

Dundee or Kilmarnock (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.30.

Form check: Dundee have won 3 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 7 conceded, Kilmarnock 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 13.

How many goals in Dundee vs Kilmarnock? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

On the goal lines Dundee vs Kilmarnock reads 81% for over 1.5, 59% for over 2.5 and 37% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 41%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; Melbet pay 1.75.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Dundee scoring in 84% of runs and Kilmarnock in 71%; clean sheets come at 30% for Dundee and 16% for Kilmarnock.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.5%, then 2-1 at 9.7% and 1-0 at 8.6%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Dundee, full-time Dundee is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

Every market for Dundee vs Kilmarnock

The grid built from 1.85 and 1.22 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Dundee to win52%1.97
Draw24%3.75
Kilmarnock to win24%3.82
Dundee, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Kilmarnock, draw no bet32%fair 3.13

Double chance

Dundee or draw76%1.27
Kilmarnock or draw48%1.84
Dundee or Kilmarnock (no draw)76%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.75
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.72
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.08
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.29
Under 2.5 goals41%2.15
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.64
Not both teams to score41%2.23

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.49
Second-half goal82%fair 1.23

Team goals

Dundee to score84%fair 1.19
Kilmarnock to score71%fair 1.42
Dundee clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Kilmarnock clean sheet16%fair 6.37
Dundee to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Kilmarnock to win to nil15%fair 6.90

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.7%
1-08.6%
2-07.9%
1-26.4%
3-16%

Half-time / full-time

Dundee / Dundee32.7%
Draw / Dundee16.3%
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock14.3%
Draw / Draw12.7%
Draw / Kilmarnock9%

Questions about Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Who is favourite in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

The model gives Dundee the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Dundee find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Kilmarnock in 71%.

What time does Dundee vs Kilmarnock kick off?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Dundee v KilmarnockDundee to win, 52%
1.97Bet