Premiership
Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
HibernianHomeLLLDW
1:2Half-time 1:2
FalkirkAwayLWWWW572419
Hibernian winDrawFalkirk win
Premiership
Round 9 Saturday, 17 October 2026
FT
HibernianHomeLLLDWFalkirkAwayLWWWW- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.96 1.91 : 1.05
- Favourite
- 57% Hibernian
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Hibernian vs Falkirk odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.37 | 1.69 | 2.09 | 1.65 | 2.11 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Hibernian to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Hibernian vs Falkirk are 1.73 for Hibernian at 1xBet, 3.80 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.37 for Falkirk at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.69 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.09 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.65 (1xBet) and no 2.11 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
57%
Our prediction
Hibernian to win
Double chanceHibernian or draw
81% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.69
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.65
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.26fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hibernian, full-time Hibernian
37% chance2.74fair
Hibernian vs Falkirk prediction
Hibernian vs Falkirk prediction, who wins and at what price
Hibernian are a narrow favourite in the Hibernian vs Falkirk prediction, rated 57% to win this Premiership match on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Falkirk sit at 19% and the draw at 24%.
The goal expectancy is 2.96 in total, split 1.91 to Hibernian and 1.05 to Falkirk. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 57%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Hibernian to win is the main selection, rated 57%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.73. That price implies 58%, 1 points over the model figure.
For a safer line, hibernian or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.19.
Over the last 5 matches Hibernian stand at 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Falkirk show 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Hibernian vs Falkirk
On the goal lines Hibernian vs Falkirk reads 80% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.69.
The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from Hibernian scoring in 85% of runs and Falkirk in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for Hibernian and 15% for Falkirk.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Hibernian vs Falkirk: 1-1 (10.4%), 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Hibernian, full-time Hibernian leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Hibernian vs Falkirk
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 57% / 24% / 19% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Hibernian to win57%1.73
Draw24%3.80
Falkirk to win19%4.37
Hibernian, draw no bet75%fair 1.34
Falkirk, draw no bet25%fair 3.97
Double chance
Hibernian or draw81%1.19
Falkirk or draw43%2.03
Hibernian or Falkirk (no draw)76%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.69
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.62
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Under 2.5 goals44%2.09
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.65
Not both teams to score43%2.11
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.36
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.60
Second-half goal80%fair 1.24
Team goals
Hibernian to score85%fair 1.17
Falkirk to score65%fair 1.54
Hibernian clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Falkirk clean sheet15%fair 6.76
Hibernian to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Falkirk to win to nil14%fair 7.35
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.4%
2-19.9%
1-09.9%
2-09.5%
3-16.3%
3-06%
Half-time / full-time
Hibernian / Hibernian36.5%
Draw / Hibernian17.8%
Draw / Draw12.8%
Falkirk / Falkirk11.4%
Draw / Falkirk7.6%
Questions about Hibernian vs Falkirk
Who is favourite in Hibernian vs Falkirk?
The model gives Hibernian the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Hibernian vs Falkirk correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Falkirk?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Hibernian find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Falkirk in 65%.
What time does Hibernian vs Falkirk kick off?
Hibernian vs Falkirk starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.