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Live 6 UTC
Premiership Round 10 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
FalkirkHomeLWWWW
3:0Half-time 2:0
KilmarnockAwayLWLLD
512524
Falkirk winDrawKilmarnock win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.00
1.81 : 1.19
Favourite
51%
Falkirk
Over 2.5 goals
57%
model chance
Both teams to score
60%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.813.843.881.612.231.562.28Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Falkirk to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock are 1.81 for Falkirk at 1xBet, 3.84 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.88 for Kilmarnock at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 93.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.61 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.23 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.56 (1xBet) and no 2.28 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

51%

Our prediction

Falkirk to win
LeanExpected goals 1.81 : 1.19-7.5% against the best price
Double chanceFalkirk or draw
76% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.61
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Falkirk, full-time Falkirk
32% chance3.09fair

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction

Our Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction and pick

The Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction leans to Falkirk: 51% against 24% for Kilmarnock, with 25% left for the draw, in the Premiership on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.81 for Falkirk and 1.19 for Kilmarnock, a total of 3.00, which puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is falkirk to win at 51%. At 1.81 with 1xBet the market prices it at 55%, against 51% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Falkirk vs Kilmarnock.

Falkirk or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 76% chance, priced 1.23.

Form check: Falkirk have won 4 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 3 conceded, Kilmarnock 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 13.

Falkirk vs Kilmarnock goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 57%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.61 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 60%, built from Falkirk scoring in 84% of runs and Kilmarnock in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Falkirk and 16% for Kilmarnock.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: 1-1 (10.7%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Falkirk, full-time Falkirk is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.

Every market rated for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Falkirk to win51%1.81
Draw25%3.84
Kilmarnock to win24%3.88
Falkirk, draw no bet68%fair 1.47
Kilmarnock, draw no bet32%fair 3.11

Double chance

Falkirk or draw76%1.23
Kilmarnock or draw49%1.93
Falkirk or Kilmarnock (no draw)75%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.61
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%2.23
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55

BTTS

Both teams to score60%1.56
Not both teams to score40%2.28

Halves

First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24

Team goals

Falkirk to score84%fair 1.20
Kilmarnock to score70%fair 1.44
Falkirk clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Kilmarnock clean sheet16%fair 6.10
Falkirk to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Kilmarnock to win to nil15%fair 6.62

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
2-19.7%
1-09%
2-08.2%
1-26.4%
0-15.9%

Half-time / full-time

Falkirk / Falkirk32.4%
Draw / Falkirk16.4%
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock14.2%
Draw / Draw13.1%
Draw / Kilmarnock9%

Questions about Falkirk vs Kilmarnock

Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

The model gives Falkirk the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 25%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 57% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?

The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Falkirk find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Kilmarnock in 70%.

When is Falkirk vs Kilmarnock and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Falkirk v KilmarnockFalkirk to win, 51%
1.81Bet